Zay Flowers

Lamar Jackson suffered multiple injuries throughout 2025, including back and other injuries. Flowers' upside is heavily dependent on Jackson's health and performance; any extended QB absence dramatically impacts his value.

Flowers scored only 5 TDs on 86 catches (1,211 yards) in 2025 despite being the clear WR1. Limited red zone touches (8 targets) and competition from tight ends Andrews and Likely for scoring opportunities limit ceiling.

Jesse Minter and 29-year-old OC Declan Doyle (former Bears OC with Ben Johnson calling plays) represent complete regime change after John Harbaugh era. Doyle has never called NFL plays before, creating uncertainty around target distribution and offensive philosophy despite his success helping Chicago improve to 6th-ranked offense in 2025.

Baltimore's run-first identity (Derrick Henry), dual-TE usage (Isaiah Likely + Mark Andrews), and Declan Doyle's outside-zone emphasis structurally limit WR target share; Flowers' late-season target share trended down to 35% (from a W15 peak of 42%), reflecting an embedded ceiling in this offense.

Mark Andrews (value 2730) and Isaiah Likely (value 2911) form one of the NFL's most target-absorbing TE rooms. Ravens historically funnel a significant share of their passing volume through the tight end position, capping Flowers' ceiling.

Todd Monken's replacement by ex-Bears OC Declan Doyle introduces scheme transition risk. Doyle's pre-snap motion system and explosive-play philosophy is directionally encouraging, but the departure from Monken's pass-heavy approach is an unresolved variable entering 2026.

Flowers is definitively the Ravens' WR1, earning back-to-back Pro Bowl selections (2024-2025). His 86 catches for 1,211 yards in 2025 confirm he's consolidated the top role ahead of Rashod Bateman and others.

At 25.4 years old, Flowers is entering his prime 3-5 year window. His 2023-2025 trajectory shows steady improvement (858 yards rookie year → 1,050 in 2024 → 1,211 in 2025), suggesting continued growth ahead.

With Rashod Bateman disappointing in 2025 and DeAndre Hopkins aging (likely free agent departure), Flowers faces minimal internal competition going forward. Mock drafts show Ravens may add WR depth but not premium competition.

Rashod Bateman had career-low 224 yards in 2025 and caused offseason drama with Instagram posts. DeAndre Hopkins (880 value) likely leaving in free agency. Devontez Walker and LaJohntay Wester remain unproven depth pieces, leaving Flowers as undisputed alpha with minimal internal competition.

Spotrac projects 3-year, $92.9M extension for Flowers this offseason. Team already picked up Hamilton's extension quickly, suggesting organizational willingness to lock up young stars. Extension would provide long-term security and signal Ravens' commitment to building offense around him.

DeAndre Hopkins was released in March 2026 and no significant WR additions were made. With Hopkins and Tylan Wallace gone, Flowers is the undisputed WR1 with no credible competition for the top target share.