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QB #486
Zach Wilson headshot
Zach Wilson headshot

Zach Wilson

Tier 11

NOS · QB · Age 26

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

509Declining

IMPORTANT DATA UPDATE: The team data in this record is stale — Zach Wilson is no longer a Miami Dolphin.

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Starter Uncertainty

    Wilson is competing with Tua Tagovailoa for Miami's starting job with no clear path to consistent QB1 production. Tua's injury history creates volatility, but Wilson hasn't demonstrated he's the long-term answer.

  • Career Trajectory

    Wilson has now lost consecutive QB competitions — he was supplanted by 7th-round rookie Quinn Ewers in Miami (2025), then signed a league-minimum deal ($1.4M, ~$599k guaranteed) with New Orleans in March 2026. His market price is that of a camp arm, not a legitimate NFL starter or developmental asset.

  • Depth Chart

    Wilson enters a Saints QB room as a backup or QB3 candidate. Dynasty Nerds ranks him QB89 / 618th overall with an assigned value of 0, reflecting the industry consensus that he has no viable path to a starting role on his new team.

  • Free Agency Uncertainty

    Wilson becomes an unrestricted free agent in March 2026 with no clear landing spot after failing to secure playing time in Miami. His minimal 2025 tape (6-of-11, 32 yards, 0 TDs) makes him unattractive to potential suitors.

  • Career Trajectory Decline

    Wilson has failed to win a QB competition at three consecutive stops (Jets, Broncos, Dolphins) since being drafted 2nd overall. At 26.5 years old with minimal positive NFL tape since 2023, his window to prove NFL viability is closing rapidly.

  • Depth Chart Position

    Tyler Shough is the Saints' committed QB1 after a solid 2025 finish (67.6% completion, 10 TDs, 9 starts), and New Orleans spent the 8th overall pick in 2026 on WR Jordyn Tyson to build around him long-term. Wilson's path to meaningful snaps requires a significant Shough injury.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Scheme Fit

    Miami's offensive infrastructure with established WRs (Hill, Waddle) and run game could help Wilson if he wins the job outright, though this scenario remains unlikely.

  • Garbage Time Potential 2sf

    In superflex or 2-QB leagues, Wilson remains a minimal-cost grab for bye-week coverage or injury fill-in. His $6M contract history proves some GMs believe in low-cost reclamation upside.

  • Superflex Depth Lottery

    In deep superflex/2-QB leagues, Wilson remains a minimum-cost QB3/QB4 roster stash with theoretical injury replacement upside if he lands in a favorable backup situation. His dynasty value floor is essentially zero.

  • Camp Battle Wildcard

    Wilson could compete for a veteran backup job with a QB-needy team seeking low-cost depth. However, with better backup options available in free agency, this path requires significant competition attrition.

  • Injury Upside

    In 2SF or Superflex leagues with thin QB rosters, Wilson is a free-agent stash on the chance the Saints' starter misses time. New Orleans has had chronic QB instability and a depleted offense — any multi-week vacancy creates at least a streaming role.

  • Format Value

    At effectively $0 dynasty cost, Wilson holds non-zero roster value strictly in 14-team+ Superflex or 2QB formats where the QB pool is exhausted. His ceiling is streaming fill-in; his floor is free.

Scenarios (4)
  • Career backup — zero fantasy productionlikely-20%

    Shough stays healthy all of 2026; Wilson finishes the year with 0–2 garbage-time appearances and receives no meaningful contract interest

  • Spot starter after Shough injurypossible+40%

    Shough misses 3+ weeks with injury; Wilson starts for the Saints with Jordyn Tyson, Olave, and a functional offense behind him

  • Cut before season / out of NFLpossible-50%

    Rattler outperforms Wilson in preseason; Wilson released with no roster claim, effectively ending dynasty relevance

  • Reclamation project earns starting role elsewhereunlikely+50%

    Wilson's Saints stint draws interest from a QB-needy team following an injury or underperformance elsewhere; signed as a mid-season starter

Format Comparison

Zach Wilson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest509—
PPR 1QB320-189