Opportunity Flags
1- Contract Situation
2026 is a contract year for Hutchinson, giving him direct incentive to build on his late-2025 target-share gains as a platform toward either a bigger role in Houston or a larger contract elsewhere in 2027.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR · #118HOU · WR · Age 26
FLEX
Xavier Hutchinson's recent target share has been inconsistent, with a high of 32.1% in Week 18 but dipping to just 5.9% in Week 16.
Role & volume
Hutchinson's role is contested by Jha'Quan Jackson, who has returned and previously commanded a primary passing-game role.
Projected role
Given the competition from Jackson, Hutchinson projects to have a limited target share in the coming weeks, with his recent high of 32.1% being an outlier.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Hutchinson's floor is low due to inconsistent usage, with a recent game producing just 1.4 PPR points, while his ceiling remains capped by Jackson's presence in the lineup.
Intel may be outdated · updated 4 days ago
Current statusHOU
Our read vs. the market
BetaBuy-low — we value him above the market
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 26 · ascending
- Touchdown-luck regression
Our view vs Market↑ 24 pts above market
Our view
34
Market
10
Long career runwayLow draft pedigree
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)
Format Comparison
Xavier Hutchinson — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 737 | — |
| PPR SF | 610 | -127 |