Risk Flags
1- Usage & Volume
David Montgomery remains the early-down/lead back, and Marks' target share trended down through the playoff stretch, capping his ceiling to a complementary passing-down/change-of-pace role rather than a true 1B.
Woody Marks
RB · #45HOU · RB · Age 25
FLEX
Woody Marks's recent carry share of 55.9% in Week 17 signals he is a key part of Houston’s rushing attack, but his inconsistent usage and low value rank make him a FLEX.
Role & volume
Woody Marks has shown significant variance in his carry share over the last four games, ranging from 21.2% to 83.9%, indicating inconsistent usage and role.
Projected role
Despite learning a new route tree and a coaching change that could offer opportunity, Marks's recent value rank of RB43 suggests he is not expected to be a high-volume or high-value player moving forward.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Marks’s floor is set by his lowest PPR points total in the last four games at 4.8, while his ceiling is capped by his highest output of 15.6 PPR points, reflecting a narrow range that limits upside.
Intel updated: 2 days ago
Current statusHOU
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)
Opportunity Flags
2- Elite Production
Marks carried a real red-zone role (roughly 9.5 expected TDs) but scored only 6, a notable negative regression that positions him as a buy-low candidate for positive touchdown regression.
- Usage & Volume
Carry share rose late in the season and snap share held steady near 68% through the playoffs, with a kick-return job layered on top, giving Marks standalone value beyond his early-down split with Montgomery.
Format Comparison
Woody Marks — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 1,724 | — |
| PPR SF | 1,426 | -298 |