Risk Flags
6- Injury Concerns
Robinson has dealt with multiple significant injuries (ACL, hamstring) limiting his availability and development trajectory. Durability concerns persist and could impact long-term value in dynasty formats.
- Target Volume
Robinson's 1,000-yard season came with Malik Nabers missing 13 games due to ACL/meniscus injury. Nabers' expected return (though Week 1 status uncertain) plus Darius Slayton and Jalin Hyatt will significantly reduce Robinson's target share from the 140 targets he saw in 2025.
- Free Agency Uncertainty
Robinson is set to hit unrestricted free agency in 2026. With Robinson's market value potentially soaring toward the $20 million-per-year mark, the Giants must decide if they can afford to keep him. While a reunion between Robinson and the Giants "seems likely", dynasty owners need to monitor this situation closely.
- Target Competition
Carnell Tate (R1 P4, Ohio State) is Tennessee's designated WR1 franchise piece and will command a dominant target share from day one. Robinson's WR2 ceiling is capped by how quickly Tate asserts himself as the clear focal point of the Daboll offense.
- One Year Wonder
Robinson is the shortest player in NFL history to reach 1,000 yards at 5'8", and had never surpassed 600 yards in his first three seasons. His 11.0 YPC and downfield production represent a dramatic departure from his previous check-down role, raising sustainability questions.
- Role Dependency
Robinson's path to WR2-level dynasty volume hinges on Calvin Ridley missing time — historically likely given Ridley's broken fibula in Week 11 of 2025 and age-32 season in 2026. A healthy Ridley relegates Robinson to a WR3 role with capped targets.