Van Jefferson
WR · #183WAS · WR · Age 30
Redraft rank
WR113
WR113 · Depth+39 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#282
ADP
WR152
Consensus
Coin flip
(insufficient first-party data)
Value vs ADP+39 slots of value
Our rank
WR113
Market ADP
WR152
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rankMajorNotableNotable
Case for
ADP value
WR152 ADP · +39 slots
Case against
Projection rank
WR113 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±85 rank σ · 2 sources
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence
Of the 10 age-25 receivers most similar to Van Jefferson's 2021 season, 1 finished WR1, 1 finished WR2, 6 finished WR4+, 2 missed the season.
Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → WR1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
60%20%
- WR111%(1)
- WR29%(1)
- WR4+60%(6)
- Missed season20%(2)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season PPG range10.4 median
0.0p25–p75 5.5–12.017.4
10 most similar players
Calvin Ridley90%
2020WR7 · 18.8 PPG
Sammy Watkins90%
2018WR49 · 11.7 PPG
John Ross88%
2020Missed the season
Mike Williams84%
2020WR48 · 11.0 PPG
Allen Lazard80%
2020WR65 · 10.6 PPG
DeVante Parker74%
2018WR105 · 5.5 PPG
+4 more analogs
Format Comparison
Van Jefferson — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 400 | — |
| PPR SF | 275 | -125 |