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QB #278
Tyson Bagent headshot
Tyson Bagent headshot

Tyson Bagent

Tier 9

CHI · QB · Age 26

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

562Declining

Tyson Bagent is a confirmed, well-regarded QB2 in Chicago behind franchise starter Caleb Williams, with Case Keenum as QB3 — an unchanged room from 2025 — and...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart

    Bagent remains a backup QB in Chicago with no clear path to consistent starting opportunity. The Bears' QB situation remains unsettled heading into 2025, but Bagent is not the presumed solution.

  • No Starter Path

    Caleb Williams is entrenched as the Bears' franchise QB after a breakout 2025 season (3,942 passing yards, 27 TDs). Bagent is locked in as the backup with zero path to meaningful playing time under normal circumstances.

  • Zero Path To Starts

    Caleb Williams threw for 3,942 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2025, cementing his status as Chicago's franchise QB. The Bears have their guy at quarterback and a QB2 they are very comfortable with, meaning Bagent has zero path to meaningful snaps barring injury.

  • Usage & Volume

    Structured game log data shows near-zero production: snap shares of 1%, 16%, 4%, and 8% in his last four appearances, with 2.6 total points across two games in 2025. He is purely mop-up; Williams' durability makes even those snaps rare.

  • Age Concerns

    At 25.6 years old, Bagent is exiting the developmental backup window without establishing himself as a starter. In 2024, Bagent saw action in four games, completing just two pass attempts for 11 yards, providing no resume for future opportunities.

  • Trade Leverage

    The Bears actively shopped Bagent this offseason and drew interest from Arizona, the Jets, and Miami — all went other directions. The market dried up before the draft, and the asking price (2nd, would take a 3rd) found no takers, leaving him in Chicago by default.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    If Caleb Williams sustains a significant injury, Bagent would inherit a strong offensive ecosystem (Rome Odunze, Colston Loveland, Luther Burden, Kyle Monangai, D'Andre Swift) and proven play-caller Ben Johnson.

  • Trade Potential

    The Bears are still 'weighing options' as of April 12, 2026, and a QB-needy team suffering a camp injury could revive the market. GM Poles has shown willingness to deal; a landing on a rebuilding team would immediately elevate Bagent's dynasty ceiling.

  • Rebuild Depth

    For dynasty rebuilders, Bagent at tier 11 value represents virtually free QB depth with minimal capital outlay and speculative Williams-injury upside.

  • Coaching Fit

    Ben Johnson publicly called Bagent 'probably one of the best 32 in the NFL,' signaling real organizational buy-in. That endorsement backstops his roster spot and could support a trade to a starter-needy team mid-season if one gets desperate.

  • Team Situation

    The Bears signed Bagent to a two-year, $10 million extension in August 2025, worth up to $16 million with incentives, ensuring he remains the backup through 2027. Bagent was the first quarterback extended by the Bears since Jay Cutler in 2014, signaling organizational confidence.

  • Minimal Capital Required

    At tier 11 dynasty value (1034.0), Bagent represents near-zero investment for rebuilders seeking speculative QB depth. His contract security and Chicago's elite offensive weapons provide variance upside if Williams goes down.

Scenarios (4)
  • Career backup, no movementlikely-10%

    Williams stays healthy and Bagent rides out his extension as QB2 in Chicago

  • Traded to QB-needy teampossible+30%

    A team loses a starter to injury/holdout and acquires Bagent as a bridge starter

  • Emergency starter via Williams injuryunlikely+25%

    Caleb Williams misses multiple games, handing Bagent the Bears offense

  • Value decays to near-zeropossible-25%

    Contract runs out with no starts and the market moves on from a 27-year-old career backup

Format Comparison

Tyson Bagent — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest562—
PPR 1QB125-437