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Tyrell Shavers headshot

Tyrell Shavers

WR · #171

BUF · WR · Age 26

Redraft rank
WR145
◆WR145 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#378
ADP
WR120
Consensus
Coin flip

Tyrell Shavers is a WR with a torn ACL who will miss the entire 2026 season, leaving him as a speculative deep-stash option at best.

Role & trajectory
Shavers was primarily a rotational/special-teams piece in Buffalo's crowded WR room, with his peak target share over the final four games of 2025 being just 11%.
Projected outlook
With the addition of DJ Moore and rookie Skyler Bell this offseason, Shavers is now buried at least sixth on the depth chart, with minimal opportunity for meaningful targets in 2027 if he returns.
Risk & schedule
ACL recovery timelines typically extend over a year, making Shavers' availability uncertain until late 2026 or early 2027 at the earliest, with significant risk of release due to roster constraints and depth chart competition.
Value vs ADP-25 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR145
vs
Market ADP
WR120
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR145 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR120 ADP · -25 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±29 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-26 receivers most similar to Tyrell Shavers's 2025 season, 6 finished WR4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

60%40%
  • WR4+60%(6)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
60%hang on~6.8 PPG·40%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–7.68.8
10 most similar players
Josh Reynolds95%
2022·WR70 · 8.7 PPG
Jalen Tolbert94%
2024·WR46 · 8.9 PPG
James Washington94%
2022·Missed the season
Michael Gallup91%
2022·WR59 · 7.6 PPG
Ashton Dulin91%
2022·WR123 · 6.1 PPG
Laquon Treadwell90%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Recovery2

    Shavers tore his ACL in the Wild Card playoff game vs. Jacksonville and reportedly played through the injury in the second half before the diagnosis. While he was activated off IR in February 2026, returning to full explosiveness post-ACL at age 26 on a thin opportunity base is a significant concern.

  • Target Competition2

    Shavers sits at minimum 5th on the Bills' WR depth chart behind Shakir, Coleman, Palmer, and Gabriel Davis, with web search indicating a possible DJ Moore addition further crowding the room — his path to a meaningful target share is extraordinarily narrow.

  • Target Volume

    Even before injury, Shavers operated in an extremely crowded Bills WR room. Current depth includes Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer, and Brandin Cooks. The Bills are actively seeking new WR depth this offseason.

  • Injury Concerns

    Shavers tore his ACL on January 11, 2026 in the Wild Card game and will miss all of 2026. With ACL recovery extending 12+ months, his availability for early 2027 is questionable, leaving him with minimal productive years ahead at age 27+.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Potential Role Expansion

    If injury impacts Buffalo's receiving corps or the team trades away depth, Shavers could carve out a meaningful slot or secondary receiver role with Josh Allen.

  • Offensive Context

    Josh Allen guarantees that any receiver who earns meaningful snaps in Buffalo has legitimate fantasy upside; the Bills offensive environment is among the NFL's best for WR floor and ceiling alike.

  • Role Expansion

    Coleman and Gabriel Davis both carry injury history; a health attrition scenario during the season could vault Shavers into a 3rd/4th WR role with snap share above 60% and double-digit target share.

  • Scheme Fit

    Joe Brady's arrival as offensive coordinator resets positional preferences; if Brady's scheme values a longer-speed X-type receiver, Shavers' athleticism profile could earn a carve-out that the previous staff didn't prioritize.

  • Injury Replacement

    The 2025 season demonstrated the Bills WR room is injury-prone — both Shavers and Gabriel Davis tore ACLs in the same playoff game; a repeat injury wave above Shavers mid-2026 could create a mid-season activation window.

  • Coaching Continuity

    Shavers knows the Bills' system and Allen's cadence, giving him a marginal edge over unknown newcomers for practice squad retention or an emergency callup if he clears PUP and the depth chart fractures.

Format Comparison

Tyrell Shavers — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest636—
PPR SF498-138