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Tyreek Hill headshot

Tyreek Hill

WR · #93

FA · WR · Age 32

Redraft rank
WR79
•WR79 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#179
ADP
WR80
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP+1 slots of value
Our rank
WR79
vs
Market ADP
WR80
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR79 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Age / role
age 32 WR
Notable
Neutral: ADP value, Source agreement
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-32 receivers most similar to Tyreek Hill's 2025 season, 8 finished WR4+, 2 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

81%19%
  • WR4+81%(8)
  • Missed season19%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range5.0 median
0.0p25–p75 3.7–7.78.6
10 most similar players
T.Y. Hilton95%
2022·WR139 · 5.2 PPG
Mack Hollins89%
2025·WR49 · 8.6 PPG
Marquise Goodwin83%
2022·WR81 · 7.5 PPG
Julio Jones82%
2021·WR78 · 8.4 PPG
Marquez Valdes-Scantling80%
2025·WR121 · 3.8 PPG
John Brown79%
2021·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Tyreek Hill is a 32-year-old free agent recovering from a catastrophic multi-ligament knee injury (dislocation + torn ACL on Sept 29, 2025) that required multiple surgeries, and as of June 2026 he remains unsigned while awaiting medical clearance — Rosenhaus says he wants a contender. His dynasty value has cratered to roughly WR100 on the market, slotting behind unproven rookies, because a speed-first profile colliding with a reconstructed knee and the wrong side of the aging curve is a worst-case combination. The two genuine catalysts are a landing spot (Chiefs, Raiders, Chargers, Bills, Ravens and 49ers have all been floated) and whether his explosiveness survives rehab; the dominant concern is that even a healthy signing likely yields only a complementary WR2/WR3 role for a year or two. For dynasty purposes this is a clear SELL/CUT for any contender still rostering him at a meaningful price, and at most a near-free dart-throw BUY for a win-now team that can absorb a zero if it fails. Recommendation: SELL/hold-for-zero now; only acquire as a free flier, with a 1-season window to extract value before the age-and-injury cliff closes.

Current statusFree Agent
Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns

    Hill is 32 years old and will be joining a new team for the 2026 NFL season. He checked in as WR35 in 2024 before not playing enough to qualify in 2025, indicating already-present decline before the injury.

  • No Team Affiliation

    The Miami Dolphins are releasing Tyreek Hill ahead of contract guarantees that take effect during the 2026 season, making him a free agent entering uncharted territory.

  • Injury Recovery

    Hill tore his ACL and multiple additional ligaments in Week 4 of 2025 and underwent surgery shortly after. At roughly 5 months post-op he remains without medical clearance for NFL activities, and multi-ligament involvement materially extends standard 9-12 month ACL timelines, pushing any realistic return to mid-to-late 2026 training camp at best.

  • Team Situation

    The Dolphins cut Hill in February 2026 before a $16M guarantee trigger activated. As of April 2026 he remains unsigned — his agent says he is waiting for medical clearance before signing with a contender — leaving landing spot, QB, scheme fit, and role entirely unresolved.

  • Injury Severity

    Hill suffered a torn ACL, dislocated knee, and multiple additional ligament tears in Week 4 of 2025 — a severe injury complex requiring surgery in late September. At 32, recovering the elite burst and separation speed that define his entire game is far from guaranteed.

  • Injury Concerns

    Hill suffered a dislocated left knee with multiple torn ligaments (including ACL) on Sept 29, 2025, requiring multiple surgeries plus an additional procedure in February 2026. As of June he remains unsigned, awaiting medical clearance — a catastrophic injury for a speed-dependent player.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Offensive Context2

    Hill's camp is explicitly targeting a contender; the Chiefs hold ~47% prediction market odds to reunite him with Mahomes, while the Chargers (Herbert, $99.5M cap space) and Bears (Caleb Williams) are credible alternatives — any of those three would be among the best QB situations available to him.

  • Potential Low Price Entry

    At 32 and recovering from a torn ACL, Hill slots behind unproven rookies in dynasty and should only be acquired if essentially free. Desperate contenders could exploit panic pricing.

  • Buy Price

    With dynasty value collapsed to near-floor levels (2738, Tier 5), the buy-in cost is minimal — likely a late pick or low bench piece. That creates asymmetric upside: if he lands in a premium situation and recovers fully, the return on a cheap acquisition could be significant.

  • QB Upgrade Potential

    Prediction markets (Polymarket) price the Chiefs at ~56% favorites to re-sign Hill. A reunion with Mahomes and Andy Reid — who have a 5-year blueprint for maximizing him — is the single most powerful value catalyst remaining in his dynasty outlook.

  • Elite Production

    Hill carries a generational receiving résumé with elite deep-ball ability that could outlast some age decline if his athleticism survives the surgery. A field-stretcher role on a strong passing offense could still produce WR2-range fantasy value even without full pre-injury burst.

Format Comparison

Tyreek Hill — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,261—
PPR SF1,070-191