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WR #195
Tyreek Hill headshot
Tyreek Hill headshot

Tyreek Hill

Tier 11

FA · WR · Age 32

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,112Rising

Tyreek Hill is a 32-year-old free agent recovering from a catastrophic multi-ligament knee injury (dislocation + torn ACL on Sept 29, 2025) that required...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

7
  • Age Concerns2

    Hill is 32 years old and will be joining a new team for the 2026 NFL season. He checked in as WR35 in 2024 before not playing enough to qualify in 2025, indicating already-present decline before the injury.

  • Injury Concerns

    Hill suffered a dislocated left knee with multiple torn ligaments (including ACL) on Sept 29, 2025, requiring multiple surgeries plus an additional procedure in February 2026. As of June he remains unsigned, awaiting medical clearance — a catastrophic injury for a speed-dependent player.

  • No Team Affiliation

    The Miami Dolphins are releasing Tyreek Hill ahead of contract guarantees that take effect during the 2026 season, making him a free agent entering uncharted territory.

  • Injury Recovery

    Hill tore his ACL and multiple additional ligaments in Week 4 of 2025 and underwent surgery shortly after. At roughly 5 months post-op he remains without medical clearance for NFL activities, and multi-ligament involvement materially extends standard 9-12 month ACL timelines, pushing any realistic return to mid-to-late 2026 training camp at best.

  • Team Situation

    The Dolphins cut Hill in February 2026 before a $16M guarantee trigger activated. As of April 2026 he remains unsigned — his agent says he is waiting for medical clearance before signing with a contender — leaving landing spot, QB, scheme fit, and role entirely unresolved.

  • Injury Severity

    Hill suffered a torn ACL, dislocated knee, and multiple additional ligament tears in Week 4 of 2025 — a severe injury complex requiring surgery in late September. At 32, recovering the elite burst and separation speed that define his entire game is far from guaranteed.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Potential Low Price Entry

    At 32 and recovering from a torn ACL, Hill slots behind unproven rookies in dynasty and should only be acquired if essentially free. Desperate contenders could exploit panic pricing.

  • Buy Price

    With dynasty value collapsed to near-floor levels (2738, Tier 5), the buy-in cost is minimal — likely a late pick or low bench piece. That creates asymmetric upside: if he lands in a premium situation and recovers fully, the return on a cheap acquisition could be significant.

  • Offensive Context

    Hill's camp is explicitly targeting a contender; the Chiefs hold ~47% prediction market odds to reunite him with Mahomes, while the Chargers (Herbert, $99.5M cap space) and Bears (Caleb Williams) are credible alternatives — any of those three would be among the best QB situations available to him.

  • QB Upgrade Potential

    Prediction markets (Polymarket) price the Chiefs at ~56% favorites to re-sign Hill. A reunion with Mahomes and Andy Reid — who have a 5-year blueprint for maximizing him — is the single most powerful value catalyst remaining in his dynasty outlook.

  • Elite Production

    Hill carries a generational receiving résumé with elite deep-ball ability that could outlast some age decline if his athleticism survives the surgery. A field-stretcher role on a strong passing offense could still produce WR2-range fantasy value even without full pre-injury burst.

  • Speculative Upside

    Hill's agent explicitly stated he is targeting a contender. Bills, 49ers, and Rams have also been mentioned. Even a WR2/3 half-season on a pass-heavy offense could produce flex-starter output on a cheap incentive-laden deal.

Scenarios (4)
  • Signs with contender, useful WR2/WR3likely+15%

    Medical clearance before/during training camp and a deal with Chiefs/Bills/Chargers-tier QB

  • Chiefs reunion, near-elite resurgenceunlikely+40%

    Full knee recovery + reunion with Mahomes restoring deep-field role

  • Slow/incomplete recovery, marginal rolepossible-25%

    Signs late on a prove-it deal, speed visibly diminished, WR4/depth usage

  • Medical setback or effective retirementpossible-45%

    Fails to gain clearance, lingers unsigned, or retires after multi-surgery knee

Format Comparison

Tyreek Hill — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,379—
PPR SF1,112-267