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Tyjae Spears headshot

Tyjae Spears

RB · #51

TEN · RB · Age 25

◆FLEX

Tyjae Spears' recent carry share of 15.8% in his last game signals he's not consistently seeing the volume needed for a reliable No. 2 running back role.

Role & volume
Spears has shown inconsistent usage, with a carry share ranging from 15.0% to 32.5% over his last four games, indicating he's not consistently seeing the workload of an RB2.
Projected role
Our value ranks Spears as the RB42, suggesting a FLEX role due to his inconsistent volume and recent performances that have yielded low PPR points in some weeks.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Spears' floor is set by his lowest output of 1.1 PPR points in the last four games, while his ceiling remains around a high-volume game like W16 where he scored 21.5 PPR points.
Intel may be outdated · updated 47 days ago
Current statusTEN
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionAverage carry shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 20 pts above market
Our view
59
Market
39
Long career runway

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (6 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Contract Situation

    Spears is playing out the final year of his rookie deal in 2026, which creates motivation but also leaves his post-2026 team and role unresolved heading into free agency.

  • Injury Concerns

    A concussion history (two in 2024) is a lingering durability flag even though he enters the 2026 season healthy with no missed-game injury designation.

  • Usage & Volume

    Overall opportunity remains thin (WOPR 0.14, ~46% snap share) since Tony Pollard holds the early-down work, capping Spears' weekly ceiling within the current backfield split.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Usage & Volume

    Target share trended up across the close of the prior season (up to 21% by the finale) and the coaching staff has described Spears and Pollard as co-bellcow backs under a more pass-oriented scheme, suggesting further receiving-role growth is plausible.

  • Target Volume

    Spears has ranked among the top-10 running backs in catches in multiple seasons, giving him a stable PPR floor independent of the ground-game split with Pollard.

  • Draft Capital

    Tennessee used only a fifth-round pick at running back in the 2026 draft class, leaving Spears' passing-down niche largely uncontested by rookie competition.

Format Comparison

Tyjae Spears — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,544—
PPR SF1,292-252