Risk Flags
6- Backfield Competition
Tony Pollard was retained for 2026 on the final year of his $21.75M deal after back-to-back 1,000-yard rushing seasons. Pollard's incumbency caps Spears to roughly 16% carry share and 46% snap share — not a path to meaningful RB1 volume without an injury or depth-chart reset.
- Usage & Volume
The Titans are deploying a near dead-even backfield split between Spears and veteran back Tony Pollard, with Pollard having played 95 snaps to Spears' 92 since Week 10. Spears is projected to enter the final year of his rookie contract in a backup role to Pollard in 2026.
- Role Stagnation
Despite flashes of talent (26 forced missed tackles on just 45 receptions in 2025, tied with Bijan Robinson), Spears finished 2025 with just 283 rushing yards on 72 attempts and remains stuck in a near-even split with Pollard. Even late-season usage increases didn't fully solidify his role.
- Draft Capital Risk
The Titans hold the #4 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft and multiple credible mock drafts project them selecting Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love — a versatile, three-down back modeled after Jahmyr Gibbs. A Round 1 RB addition would instantly threaten Spears' roster viability given his expiring contract and limited carry share.
- Contract Situation
Both Spears and Pollard are pending free agents after 2026 with no reported extension talks, and writers expect it's hard to see either back in Nashville in 2027 — leaving Spears' 2027 home and role entirely unknown.
- Target Volume
Spears remains the clear No. 2 behind Tony Pollard, who sits atop the depth chart, and the season-long usage (46% snaps, 16% carry share, 8.6 PPG, PPR RB44) confirms a capped committee role rather than a featured back.