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Ty Simpson headshot

Ty Simpson

QB · #28

LAR · QB · Age 23

Redraft rank
QB42
◆QB42 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#503
ADP
QB31
Consensus
Tight

(insufficient first-party data)

Value vs ADP-11 slots (reach)
Our rank
QB42
vs
Market ADP
QB31
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 23 QB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
QB42 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
QB31 ADP · -11 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement
Also see:

Prospect Profile2026 Class

59.6Composite Score

Composite Breakdown

Each row compares Ty Simpson to other 2026 prospects in that signal — except Class × Draft Slot, which shows the editorial multiplier applied to Ty Simpson's 2026-class + draft-slot combo (baseline 1.00× = neutral).

Computed from 3 of 6 signals

  • Draft Capital25%▲top 9%Round 1, Pick 13
  • Combine Athletic17%
  • Rookie ADP17%
  • Expert Consensus17%▲top 10%
  • College Production15%
  • Class × Draft Slot9%▲+3% (1.03×)+3% (1.03×)0.20

Class rank: 92nd percentile

BMI
46%

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (8 flags)

Risk Flags

4
  • Depth Chart

    Matthew Stafford (age 38) is in active contract extension talks and could play through 2027, pushing Simpson's realistic starting opportunity back an additional year beyond the original expectation.

  • Experience Concerns

    Simpson has only 15 career college starts at Alabama, raising legitimate questions about NFL readiness — scout reports flagged bail-out tendencies, inconsistent ball placement under pressure, and erratic accuracy out of structure.

  • Mechanics Risk

    Accuracy suffers markedly when Simpson is out of structure or under pocket pressure — a developmental concern that must be resolved before he can handle an NFL starter workload in a high-stakes offense.

  • Role Uncertainty

    McVay stated Simpson must compete with Stetson Bennett for the QB2 job rather than having it handed to him, signaling the staff wants him to earn it. This is developmental noise, not a true threat to his long-term standing as the heir.

Opportunity Flags

4
  • Offensive Context

    Simpson lands in arguably the best possible dynasty situation: Sean McVay's elite scheme, a top-tier supporting cast (Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams, Davante Adams), and an aging bridge starter with no more than 1-2 years remaining.

  • Coaching Fit

    McVay held hours-long secret pre-draft meetings with Simpson before the pick, signaling deep personal investment in his development — historically, McVay-developed QBs receive significant early system immersion.

  • Role Clarity

    With Stafford at 38 and Garoppolo (age 34) considering retirement, the path to the Rams' starting job is the clearest of any 2026 rookie QB — no long-term veterans blocking and no ambiguity about the intended heir.

  • Youth Upside

    Young QB (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Format Comparison

Ty Simpson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest2,104—
PPR 1QB1,506-598