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QB #97
Ty Simpson headshot
Ty Simpson headshot

Ty Simpson

Tier 6

LAR · QB · Age 23

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

2,335Rising

Ty Simpson is the Rams' unambiguous franchise QB heir after a stunning R1 P13 selection that beat consensus by a full round, backed by months of secret McVay...

Trajectory data unavailable

Prospect Profile2026 Class

38.1Composite Score

Market View

  • KTC(consensus market)3,694
  • FantasyCalc(algorithmic)2,422
  • Spread▼−34%

Composite Breakdown

Each row compares Ty Simpson to other 2026 prospects in that signal — except Class × Draft Slot, which shows the editorial multiplier applied to Ty Simpson's 2026-class + draft-slot combo (baseline 1.00× = neutral).

Computed from 3 of 6 signals

  • Draft Capital25%•~averageRound 1, Pick 13
  • Combine Athletic17%
  • Rookie ADP17%
  • Expert Consensus17%▼~averageECR #149
  • College Production15%
  • Class × Draft Slot9%▲+8% (1.08×)+8% (1.08×)

Class rank: 33rd percentile

BMI
46%

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (8 flags)

Risk Flags

4
  • Depth Chart

    Matthew Stafford (age 38) is in active contract extension talks and could play through 2027, pushing Simpson's realistic starting opportunity back an additional year beyond the original expectation.

  • Experience Concerns

    Simpson has only 15 career college starts at Alabama, raising legitimate questions about NFL readiness — scout reports flagged bail-out tendencies, inconsistent ball placement under pressure, and erratic accuracy out of structure.

  • Mechanics Risk

    Accuracy suffers markedly when Simpson is out of structure or under pocket pressure — a developmental concern that must be resolved before he can handle an NFL starter workload in a high-stakes offense.

  • Role Uncertainty

    McVay stated Simpson must compete with Stetson Bennett for the QB2 job rather than having it handed to him, signaling the staff wants him to earn it. This is developmental noise, not a true threat to his long-term standing as the heir.

Opportunity Flags

4
  • Offensive Context

    Simpson lands in arguably the best possible dynasty situation: Sean McVay's elite scheme, a top-tier supporting cast (Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams, Davante Adams), and an aging bridge starter with no more than 1-2 years remaining.

  • Coaching Fit

    McVay held hours-long secret pre-draft meetings with Simpson before the pick, signaling deep personal investment in his development — historically, McVay-developed QBs receive significant early system immersion.

  • Role Clarity

    With Stafford at 38 and Garoppolo (age 34) considering retirement, the path to the Rams' starting job is the clearest of any 2026 rookie QB — no long-term veterans blocking and no ambiguity about the intended heir.

  • Youth Upside

    Young QB (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Scenarios (4)
  • Redshirt behind Stafford through 2027likely+5%

    Stafford's extension runs through 2027; Simpson sits as QB2/QB3 with no on-field snaps

  • Named Day 1 starter in 2028possible+35%

    Stafford retires or declines after 2027; Simpson assumes the McVay offense with Nacua/Williams intact

  • Develops into franchise QB1 in elite systempossible+45%

    Strong 2028 debut validates accuracy concerns as overblown; locks in as long-term starter

  • Accuracy issues stall him into a career backupunlikely-40%

    Loses or underwhelms in the eventual open competition; Rams pursue another QB

Format Comparison

Ty Simpson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest2,335—
PPR 1QB1,579-756