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RB #365
Ty Johnson headshot
Ty Johnson headshot

Ty Johnson

Tier 13

BUF · RB · Age 28

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

469Declining

Ty Johnson enters 2026 as Buffalo's healthy passing-down RB2 behind James Cook, with Ray Davis viewed as the more natural early-down handcuff and rookie depth...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

7
  • Age Concerns2

    RB age 28 — entering/past typical value cliff

  • Depth Chart

    Johnson sits at RB2 behind James Cook (dynasty value 6321) with Ray Davis (1906) also in the mix. His ceiling in a healthy Bills backfield is fringe flex/streaming — a #47 PPR finish through 17 games in a top-tier offense confirms the hard ceiling.

  • Release Candidate

    The Bills are actively evaluating whether to cut Johnson this offseason to create cap space, with insiders calling him a 'luxury' the team may not afford.

  • Cap Casualty Risk

    The Bills are evaluating cutting Johnson this offseason to create cap space, with insiders calling him a 'luxury' the team may not afford, and a potential cut would save $2.455 million.

  • Usage & Volume

    He's the passing-down RB2 behind James Cook (6034) with Ray Davis (1972) widely viewed as the true handcuff if Cook misses time; the 2025 game logs show falling target share (7%) and just 5.9 PPG, RB47.

  • Coaching Continuity

    New HC Joe Brady and OC Pete Carmichael Jr. replaced the prior regime in January 2026. While RBs coach Kelly Skipper was retained, Carmichael's backup RB pass-game usage tendencies are an unknown that could further erode Johnson's role.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    If Johnson is retained and Cook sustains injury, immediate flex-to-RB2 upside exists in PPR formats given his pass-catching skill.

  • Draft Capital

    Buffalo used all 10 of its 2026 draft picks on defense, selecting zero running backs. Johnson's handcuff path is not threatened by incoming draft capital — a meaningful update from the prior analysis that flagged RB draft displacement as a risk.

  • Usage & Volume

    Snap share rose from 26% in W15 to 33-38% in W16-W18, and carry share trended up to 30% late in the year. His 19.6-point W18 performance shows a ceiling when touches align, even if it is not a repeatable floor.

  • Handcuff Value

    If you roster James Cook, Johnson is a near-zero-cost contingency, though Ray Davis is the more valuable insurance piece for early-down volume.

  • Low Trade Market Value

    At a tier-10 valuation (1369.0 trade value), Johnson is undervalued relative to potential sneaky PPR contributions if Cook misses time. Could be acquired cheaply as injury insurance.

  • PPR Efficiency

    Johnson hauled in 18 of 25 targets for 284 yards and three receiving touchdowns in 2025, averaging over 15 yards per reception as a trusted Josh Allen outlet in the passing game.

Scenarios (4)
  • Cook misses multiple gamespossible+20%

    James Cook injury opens up backfield touches

  • Healthy Bills backfield, fringe rolelikely-10%

    Cook stays healthy and Buffalo keeps its RB trio intact

  • Cut or traded in roster crunchpossible-30%

    Bills release Johnson for ~$2.46M cap savings before Week 1

  • Not re-signed, role evaporateslikely-25%

    Contract expires after 2026 with age-29 free agency

Format Comparison

Ty Johnson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest586—
PPR SF469-117