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Troy Franklin headshot

Troy Franklin

WR · #74

DEN · WR · Age 23

Redraft rank
WR101
▲WR101 · Depth+78 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T4
Overall
#241
ADP
WR179
Consensus
Coin flip

Troy Franklin's projected target share fell from 18.6% to a range around 15-20% after Denver's trade for Jaylen Waddle, making him a high-end flex option in the WR101 tier.

Role & trajectory
Franklin's role as Denver's No. 2 receiver was demoted to third-string following the acquisition of Jaylen Waddle, with his target share dropping from a peak of 19% in Week 15 to 4% by Week 18 last season.
Projected outlook
Franklin's efficiency metrics remain solid, but his reduced role means he is projected for around 30 receptions and 350 receiving yards this upcoming season, making him a high-end flex option.
Risk & schedule
The addition of Jaylen Waddle to the Denver Broncos' roster poses significant competition for Franklin's targets, reducing his touch share and efficiency ceiling. Additionally, soft-tissue injuries are a concern given his speed-based game style.
Value vs ADP+78 slots of value
Our rank
WR101
vs
Market ADP
WR179
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR179 ADP · +78 slots
Major
+
Age / role
age 23 WR
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR101 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±21 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 receivers most similar to Troy Franklin, 1 finished WR3, 9 finished WR4+.

92%
  • WR38%(1)
  • WR4+92%(9)
Year-two PPG range7.5 median
2.8p25–p75 4.0–8.711.2
10 most similar players
Tyquan Thornton92%
2023·WR93 · 3.0 PPG
Elijah Moore87%
2023·WR49 · 8.0 PPG
Jameson Williams85%
2023·WR56 · 7.4 PPG
Marvin Mims82%
2024·WR57 · 7.8 PPG
Dyami Brown80%
2023·WR90 · 2.7 PPG
Joshua Palmer78%
2023·WR58 · 10.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 23 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 27 pts above market
Our view
73
Market
46
Long career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Usage & Volume2

    Game logs show a clear late-2025 fade: target share fell to 4% and snaps to 42% by W18, with three of his final four games under 11% target share. The trend was already pointing down before Waddle arrived.

  • Target Competition

    The Broncos' March 2026 trade for Jaylen Waddle (cost: 1st, 3rd, 4th-round picks) reshuffles Denver's WR hierarchy to Waddle > Sutton > Franklin. Franklin ranked 2nd on the team in targets in 2025 (104) but now projects as a clear WR3 with meaningfully compressed target share and a reduced fantasy ceiling entering 2026.

  • Injury Concerns

    Franklin missed the AFC Championship game with a hamstring strain suffered in the divisional round and also had hamstring issues late in the season. Soft tissue injuries can linger for young receivers and require monitoring heading into 2026.

  • Depth Chart

    Franklin's role declined drastically down the stretch with only 4 catches for 17 yards over his final 4 games before the hamstring injury, while Pat Bryant seemingly overtook him. He also tied for second in the NFL with 8 dropped passes, raising questions about reliability.

  • Offensive Context

    Denver now carries four legitimate WR options in Waddle, Sutton, Franklin, and Pat Bryant, with Marvin Mims still on the roster. In standard 3-WR sets, Franklin's path to consistent volume requires an above-average passing attack volume or attrition above him on the depth chart.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Youth Trajectory

    At 23 years old, Franklin is in prime value appreciation window for WRs. His underlying athleticism and potential should continue improving over next 2-3 seasons with development reps.

  • Elite Production

    Franklin had 65 catches, 709 yards, six touchdowns in 2025, tripling his rookie output. He finished second among all NFL wide receivers in screen catches and fourth in yards on screens, demonstrating offensive scheme fit and production trajectory.

  • Bo Nix College Chemistry

    Franklin has chemistry with quarterback Bo Nix dating back to their Oregon days. Franklin matched or exceeded Courtland Sutton's target volume in four consecutive late-season games and had 34 targets over the last four weeks, tied for fourth most in the league, indicating Sean Payton's confidence in the connection.

  • Age And Development

    Franklin is 22 years old (born February 6, 2003) and still in his prime value appreciation window. Franklin plans to add 10 pounds to his frame before next season, addressing physical development concerns while maintaining athleticism at a young age.

  • Age Curve Upside

    At 23 years old, Franklin is squarely in the prime value appreciation window for WRs. His production trajectory (263→709 yards Y1→Y2) suggests he's entering his breakout phase with 2-3 peak seasons ahead.

  • QB Chemistry

    Franklin has pre-existing chemistry with Bo Nix from their Oregon days and matched or exceeded Sutton's target volume in four consecutive late-season games. He had 34 targets over the final four regular-season weeks, tied for fourth most in the league, showing Payton's growing trust.

Format Comparison

Troy Franklin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,501—
PPR SF1,252-249