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WR #202
Troy Franklin headshot
Troy Franklin headshot

Troy Franklin

Tier 11

DEN · WR · Age 23

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,267Declining

Troy Franklin's near-term outlook took a clear hit when Denver acquired Jaylen Waddle in April 2026, dropping him to a WR3/WR4 in a suddenly deep room behind...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Competition

    The Broncos' March 2026 trade for Jaylen Waddle (cost: 1st, 3rd, 4th-round picks) reshuffles Denver's WR hierarchy to Waddle > Sutton > Franklin. Franklin ranked 2nd on the team in targets in 2025 (104) but now projects as a clear WR3 with meaningfully compressed target share and a reduced fantasy ceiling entering 2026.

  • Usage & Volume

    Game logs show a clear late-2025 fade: target share fell to 4% and snaps to 42% by W18, with three of his final four games under 11% target share. The trend was already pointing down before Waddle arrived.

  • Injury Concerns

    Franklin missed the AFC Championship game with a hamstring strain suffered in the divisional round and also had hamstring issues late in the season. Soft tissue injuries can linger for young receivers and require monitoring heading into 2026.

  • Scheme Fit

    Sean Payton fired both OC Joe Lombardi and WR coach Keary Colbert after the playoff loss, introducing uncertainty for Franklin's route-running development and scheme fit under new position coaching and offensive play-caller Davis Webb.

  • Depth Chart

    Franklin's role declined drastically down the stretch with only 4 catches for 17 yards over his final 4 games before the hamstring injury, while Pat Bryant seemingly overtook him. He also tied for second in the NFL with 8 dropped passes, raising questions about reliability.

  • Offensive Context

    Denver now carries four legitimate WR options in Waddle, Sutton, Franklin, and Pat Bryant, with Marvin Mims still on the roster. In standard 3-WR sets, Franklin's path to consistent volume requires an above-average passing attack volume or attrition above him on the depth chart.

Opportunity Flags

7
  • Youth Trajectory

    At 23 years old, Franklin is in prime value appreciation window for WRs. His underlying athleticism and potential should continue improving over next 2-3 seasons with development reps.

  • Elite Production

    Franklin had 65 catches, 709 yards, six touchdowns in 2025, tripling his rookie output. He finished second among all NFL wide receivers in screen catches and fourth in yards on screens, demonstrating offensive scheme fit and production trajectory.

  • Bo Nix College Chemistry

    Franklin has chemistry with quarterback Bo Nix dating back to their Oregon days. Franklin matched or exceeded Courtland Sutton's target volume in four consecutive late-season games and had 34 targets over the last four weeks, tied for fourth most in the league, indicating Sean Payton's confidence in the connection.

  • Age And Development

    Franklin is 22 years old (born February 6, 2003) and still in his prime value appreciation window. Franklin plans to add 10 pounds to his frame before next season, addressing physical development concerns while maintaining athleticism at a young age.

  • Age Curve Upside

    At 23 years old, Franklin is squarely in the prime value appreciation window for WRs. His production trajectory (263→709 yards Y1→Y2) suggests he's entering his breakout phase with 2-3 peak seasons ahead.

  • QB Chemistry

    Franklin has pre-existing chemistry with Bo Nix from their Oregon days and matched or exceeded Sutton's target volume in four consecutive late-season games. He had 34 targets over the final four regular-season weeks, tied for fourth most in the league, showing Payton's growing trust.

  • Youth Upside

    Young WR (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Scenarios (4)
  • Buried WR3/WR4, low-volume flexlikely-15%

    Waddle and Sutton both healthy and command target share, leaving Franklin as a rotational pass-catcher

  • Post-Sutton WR2 ascension in 2027possible+35%

    Sutton released/departs after 2026 (no guaranteed money), opening a perimeter role for Franklin

  • Traded to a thinner WR roompossible+18%

    Denver moves Franklin given the logjam, giving him a clearer target path elsewhere

  • Waddle or Sutton injury opens near-term workloadpossible+20%

    Injury to a WR ahead of him forces Franklin into a starting role

Format Comparison

Troy Franklin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,579—
PPR SF1,267-312