Trey McBride
TE · #2ARI · TE · Age 26
Redraft rank
TE1
TE1 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#42
ADP
TE1
Consensus
Some split
Trey McBride enters the 2026 season as the NFL's first TE ever with consecutive 100-catch seasons, setting a new single-season tight end record of 126 receptions in 2025.
Role & trajectory
McBride is projected to maintain his elite role as the top target on Arizona's offense with a 30% target share and 95% snap rate, despite the team's pivot towards a run-heavy identity.
Projected outlook
With no tight end competition behind him and a franchise cornerstone contract through 2029, McBride is expected to sustain his elite production throughout his prime window.
Risk & schedule
The primary risk for McBride's weekly ceiling lies in the unsettled quarterback situation, with Jacoby Brissett and rookie Carson Beck competing for snaps, potentially limiting passing game opportunities.
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
TE1
Market ADP
TE1
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMajorMinor
Case for
Projection rank
TE1 · proj. consensus
Source agreement
±4 rank σ · 2 sources
Neutral: ADP value, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Of the 10 age-26 tight ends most similar to Trey McBride's 2025 season, 6 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 3 finished TE3.
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
60%31%
- TE160%(6)
- TE210%(1)
- TE331%(3)
Next-season PPG range10.0 median
5.9p25–p75 7.2–14.117.4
10 most similar players
T.J. Hockenson91%
2024TE29 · 9.4 PPG
Dalton Schultz88%
2023TE11 · 10.0 PPG
Zach Ertz85%
2018TE2 · 16.7 PPG
Pat Freiermuth84%
2025TE25 · 7.3 PPG
George Kittle81%
2019TE2 · 14.0 PPG
Hunter Henry80%
2021TE10 · 9.9 PPG
+4 more analogs
Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite target shareAge 26 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 2 pts above market
Our view
100
Market
98
Producing above valueElite target shareLong career runway
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Format Comparison
Trey McBride — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 6,303 | — |
| PPR SF | 5,942 | -361 |