Trevor Lawrence

A career-high 9 rushing touchdowns on an up-trending 26% carry share drove a meaningful chunk of his QB4 finish; rushing scores are volatile year-to-year and some regression toward his career norm would soften his weekly ceiling even if the underlying role holds.

Lawrence enters 2026 fully healthy for the first time since 2023 after playing all 18 games in 2025, but a 2024 concussion and shoulder surgery that cost him seven games (including the final five) keep a background durability question on his profile.

Lawrence now has a full offseason and Year 2 of continuity under HC Liam Coen, the scheme that unlocked a career-best, top-10-PFF-graded season; players and coaches both describe him as further ahead entering 2026 than at any prior point in his career.

He's throwing to an ascending, deep skill group (Brian Thomas Jr., Travis Hunter, Bhayshul Tuten, Parker Washington, Brenton Strange) in a pass-heavy scheme running well above expected dropback rate, and Jacksonville's 2026 draft capital added TE/WR depth rather than any threat to his job.

A 100% snap share, zero same-position competition, and a rising rushing role (9 rushing scores, 26% carry share) give him a rare floor-plus-ceiling combination for a starting dynasty quarterback.