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TreVeyon Henderson headshot

TreVeyon Henderson

RB · #14

NE · RB · Age 23

Redraft rank
RB24
•RB24 · Flex play
Tier
T2
Overall
#90
ADP
RB22
Consensus
Coin flip

TreVeyon Henderson's projected carry share of 35.6% in a committee setup with Rhamondre Stevenson caps his weekly ceiling but maintains him as a reliable starter.

Role & trajectory
Henderson enters his second year as the dynamic 1b in a New England committee, having finished as RB21 (180-911-9) on a big-play profile despite Stevenson reclaiming the lead role late in 2025 and through the playoffs.
Projected outlook
Mike Clay's projection of approximately 202 carries signals modest volume growth, with his rising target share pointing to potential efficiency-to-volume leap for Henderson.
Risk & schedule
The committee structure remains the central risk, as Stevenson reclaimed the lead role at around 58-59% snaps late in 2025 and through the playoffs, limiting Henderson's weekly ceiling.
Value vs ADP-2 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB24
vs
Market ADP
RB22
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 23 RB
Minor
Case against
−
ADP value
RB22 ADP · -2 slots
Minor
−
Source agreement
±9 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Projection rank
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 backs most similar to TreVeyon Henderson's 2025 season, 4 finished RB1, 3 finished RB3, 3 finished RB4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

40%30%29%
  • RB140%(4)
  • RB330%(3)
  • RB4+29%(3)
Next-season PPG range11.6 median
8.0p25–p75 9.9–17.220.3
10 most similar players
Leonard Fournette85%
2019·RB8 · 17.3 PPG
Zach Charbonnet82%
2024·RB26 · 10.8 PPG
Clyde Edwards-Helaire74%
2022·RB48 · 9.8 PPG
Miles Sanders72%
2022·RB12 · 12.2 PPG
Kerryon Johnson71%
2019·RB50 · 10.6 PPG
Kenneth Walker III70%
2024·RB29 · 16.5 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Henderson remains the 1b in a true committee — Stevenson reclaimed the lead role at ~58-59% snaps late in 2025 and through the playoffs, capping Henderson's weekly ceiling and touch floor. Both backs are signed through 2026+, so the timeshare is the central governor on his value.

  • Scoring Profile

    His RB21 finish was driven by big-play efficiency (911 yards on 180 carries, 9 TDs) on limited volume rather than bell-cow workload; a regression in explosiveness without a usage bump would compress his fantasy output.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Usage & Volume

    Mike Clay's 2026 projection (~202 carries, 888 yds) signals a modest volume increase, and his target share is trending up — a year-2 efficiency-to-volume leap would push him toward weekly RB2 stability with RB1 spike weeks.

  • Depth Chart

    When Stevenson missed time with a toe injury, Henderson spiked to an ~80% snap share. Any Stevenson exit or injury unlocks clear lead-back volume on an ascending Drake Maye offense, the single biggest swing factor in his dynasty value.

  • Age Trajectory

    At 23 with only one year of tread on the tires and second-round draft capital, Henderson sits on the right side of the RB aging curve with a multi-year dynasty runway.

Format Comparison

TreVeyon Henderson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest4,514—
PPR SF3,873-641