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Tre Harris headshot

Tre Harris

WR · #65

LAC · WR · Age 24

Redraft rank
WR74
▲WR74 · Depth+106 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#187
ADP
WR180
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADP+106 slots of value
Our rank
WR74
vs
Market ADP
WR180
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR180 ADP · +106 slots
Major
+
Source agreement
±8 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
+
Age / role
age 24 WR
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR74 · proj. consensus
Notable
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 age-24 receivers most similar to Tre Harris's 2025 season, 1 finished WR2, 6 finished WR4+, 3 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → WR2 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

60%30%
  • WR210%(1)
  • WR4+60%(6)
  • Missed season30%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
70%hang on~8.9 PPG·30%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–9.613.4
10 most similar players
John Metchie97%
2024·WR102 · 5.5 PPG
Zach Pascal95%
2019·WR55 · 9.7 PPG
Skyy Moore94%
2024·Missed the season
Dante Pettis92%
2020·Missed the season
Jakobi Meyers92%
2020·WR58 · 11.9 PPG
Lil'Jordan Humphrey91%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Tre Harris is a 24-year-old former 2nd-round pick at the bottom of a value trough after a disappointing rookie season (#90 PPR, 4.3 PPG), but his Year-2 setup is more favorable than the raw stat line suggests. McConkey is the entrenched alpha (mostly slot) and Quentin Johnston is the established outside starter, but Keenan Allen — the 2025 team target leader — is currently an unsigned free agent, and the front office has signaled it wants its young receivers to develop, which gives Harris a credible path to the physical X role opposite McConkey. The two swing factors are whether Allen re-signs (the GM has kept the door open) and whether Harris's strong late-2025 finish carries over into a stable target share; The Athletic's Daniel Popper is already projecting him to win a starting job. Working against him are Greg Roman's run-heavy scheme, a deep RB room that caps pass volume, and a rookie year that gave the market real doubt. The elite-QB tie to Herbert and the cheap Tier-5 price tag make him an asymmetric upside bet. Recommendation: modest BUY-LOW over the next 1-2 years — acquire before the Allen decision and training-camp reports resolve, as his cost only rises if he's named a Week 1 starter.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart2

    Harris remains 4th behind McConkey (elite), Johnston, and Keenan Allen. Even with late-season opportunity, incumbent Allen and Johnston limit consistent path to volume.

  • Slow Offense Scheme

    Chargers operate the slowest offense in the league under Harbaugh, severely limiting total target opportunities even for WR2/WR3 roles.

  • Scheme Limitations

    The Chargers offense was one of the slowest in the league in 2025, limiting total passing opportunities. Even with Mike McDaniel now replacing Greg Roman as OC, the team's run-heavy approach may continue to cap target ceilings for non-alpha receivers.

  • Target Volume

    Harris sits behind Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston in a crowded room, and finished his rookie year as roughly the WR4/5 with target share dropping to 10% over the final stretch. He must climb past established options to earn real volume.

  • Depth Chart Pressure

    Allen remains unsigned as of late April 2026 but has publicly stated he only wants to play in Los Angeles. A reunion — which multiple sources have predicted even post-Thompson draft — would directly suppress Harris to WR4 and minimal target volume for a full 2026 season.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Scheme Fit2

    Mike McDaniel's hiring as OC is the most meaningful offseason catalyst for Harris. McDaniel's motion-heavy, YAC-generating system unlocked Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in Miami and projects well onto Harris' 6'3" outside receiver frame — a significant departure from the slower scheme he operated in as a rookie.

  • Role Expansion2

    If Keenan Allen signs elsewhere, Harris steps into a clear WR3 role with a genuine path to flex WR2 snaps and a target share in the 15-22% range. That jump alone would meaningfully re-rate his dynasty value given Herbert's volume and efficiency.

  • Role Expansion Catalyst

    Late-season snap surge (50%+ in final 4 games) and Harbaugh's public praise show Harris gaining trust. Johnston injuries create temporary pathways to increased volume.

  • Keenan Allen Departure

    Keenan Allen (age 33, unrestricted free agent) led the team with 81 receptions in 2025. Management has publicly stated uncertainty about bringing him back, which would open significant slot/WR2 snaps for Harris or Lambert-Smith to claim.

Format Comparison

Tre Harris — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,644—
PPR SF1,396-248