SEA · WR · Age 23
Tory Horton's recent injury-shortened season leaves his role uncertain, but he remains a cheap dart with upside if Cooper Kupp declines in the next two years.
Of the 10 age-23 receivers most similar to Tory Horton's 2025 season, 5 finished WR4+, 5 missed the season.
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.
+4 more analogs
Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Rookie season ended on IR (Nov 2025) after shin surgery; while Macdonald reports encouraging offseason progress and a possible pre-camp return, recurrence and a slow ramp remain live risks for the 2026 season.
Buried behind JSN (~36% target share), newly-paid WR2 Rashid Shaheed ($17M/yr), and veteran Cooper Kupp; Horton projects as a WR3/4 dart with a capped target ceiling unless someone ahead exits.
Was ascending before the injury — peaked at a 20.8-pt, 17% target, 73% snap game — and Kupp's age-33 decline plus an expiring window leaves a clear runway to a WR3/two-WR role in 2026-27.
Flashed outsized scoring as a rookie (5 TDs on just 13 catches plus a 95-yard punt-return TD), signaling red-zone and big-play juice that can outpace raw target volume.
Just 23 and entering year two — still firmly in the WR value-appreciation window with cheap tier-5 acquisition cost.
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 1,491 | — |
| PPR SF | 1,258 | -233 |