Tony Pollard

RB · #40

TEN · RB · Age 29

FLEX

Tony Pollard's 73.7% carry share in his most recent game signals he is the primary rusher for Tennessee, but his RB30 value rank indicates limited upside.

Role & volume

Pollard has a 64.3-73.7% carry share over his last four games, showing he is the lead rusher for Tennessee.

Projected role

Despite being the primary back, Pollard's RB30 value rank suggests he will continue to be a high-volume runner but with limited fantasy upside compared to elite options.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Pollard's recent performance shows a floor of 9.5 PPR points and a ceiling of 18.2 PPR points, reflecting his role as a high-volume runner with modest upside.

Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago

Current statusTEN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Strong usage productionElite carry shareAge 29 · window closing

Our view vs Market↑ 9 pts above market

Our view

Market

Age-curve riskElite carry shareProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Usage & Volume
In the 2026 opener Pollard ran only 8 routes to Tyjae Spears' 17 while the Titans trailed, and his 2025 receiving profile (WOPR 0.14, ~0% air-yards share) was already thin — a negative game script tilts touches toward Spears in the passing game.
Contract Situation
Pollard is in the final year of the three-year deal he signed with Tennessee in March 2024, and reporting out of the 2026 offseason indicated the front office wants to see more before discussing an extension, leaving his 2027 outlook unresolved.

Opportunity Flags

Draft Capital
Tennessee used its premium 2026 capital on a receiver (Carnell Tate at R1P4) rather than a running back, and the only same-position pick was a Day 3 flier (Nicholas Singleton, R5), leaving Pollard's path to lead-back touches largely intact for now.

Format Comparison

Tony Pollard — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,823	—
PPR SF	1,506	-317

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

1,823

—

PPR SF

1,506

-317