Tony Pollard

RB · #40

TEN · RB · Age 29

FLEX

Tony Pollard's 73.7% carry share in his most recent game signals he is the primary rusher for Tennessee, but his RB30 value rank indicates limited upside.

Role & volume

Pollard has a 64.3-73.7% carry share over his last four games, showing he is the lead rusher for Tennessee.

Projected role

Despite being the primary back, Pollard's RB30 value rank suggests he will continue to be a high-volume runner but with limited fantasy upside compared to elite options.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Pollard's recent performance shows a floor of 9.5 PPR points and a ceiling of 18.2 PPR points, reflecting his role as a high-volume runner with modest upside.

Intel may be outdated · updated 6 days ago

Current statusTEN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line

Why

Strong usage productionElite carry shareAge 29 · window closing

Our view vs Market↑ 9 pts above market

Our view

Market

Age-curve riskElite carry shareProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Contract Situation
Pollard is in the final year of the three-year deal he signed with Tennessee in March 2024; without an extension he reaches unrestricted free agency in 2027, leaving his post-2026 role and landing spot unresolved.
Target Volume
A 9% target share, 0.14 WOPR, and near-zero aDOT reflect a check-down-only receiving role that has persisted for multiple seasons, structurally capping his PPR ceiling relative to pass-catching backs.

Opportunity Flags

Draft Capital
Fifth-round rookie Nicholas Singleton sits as a clear RB3 behind Pollard and Tyjae Spears entering 2026, so this year's same-position draft pick has not yet materially threatened his role.

Format Comparison

Tony Pollard — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,875	—
PPR SF	1,551	-324

Format

Value

vs Best

PPR 1QBBest

1,875

—

PPR SF

1,551

-324