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Theo Johnson headshot

Theo Johnson

TE · #38

NYG · TE · Age 25

◆FLEX

Theo Johnson's recent injury status shift from out to questionable signals a potential return to the field, but his trailing average PPR points of 6.7 over the last four games indicate limited upside.

Role & volume
Johnson has maintained high snap shares in recent weeks, averaging 87.5% over the past four games, indicating he remains a key part of the offense despite inconsistent production.
Projected role
With a new head coach at the helm, Johnson's role could evolve, but his current value rank as TE39 suggests he is not expected to be an elite contributor in the upcoming season.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Johnson's floor is low given recent performances with zero PPR points in one game and a ceiling capped by his current value rank, making him a FLEX option at best.
Intel may be outdated · updated 44 days ago
Current statusNYG
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionSolid target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 41 pts above market
Our view
82
Market
41
Long career runwayProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

1
  • Injury History

    Johnson dealt with a training-camp shoulder injury in August 2026 and missed time to illness in 2025; he returned to practice in a non-contact jersey and was available for the season opener, so this is a durability watch item rather than an active concern.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Scheme Fit

    The Giants' offense has leaned into heavier 12-personnel usage, and Johnson has functioned more as a slot receiver than an in-line blocker, lining up as a receiver on the bulk of his 2025 snaps — a package that can keep him firmly involved alongside Likely rather than strictly behind him.

  • Every-Down Role

    Despite the target-share dip, Johnson still played 96% of snaps in his most recent outing, indicating the coaching staff trusts him on the field even while the target distribution sorts itself out.

  • Preseason Catalyst

    Reports out of 2026 OTAs had Johnson heavily involved in the passing game and among Jaxson Dart's top targets in practice; that rapport has not yet shown up in his Week 1 target share, but it's a marker worth tracking for a role rebound.

Format Comparison

Theo Johnson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest966—
PPR SF798-168