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Theo Johnson headshot

Theo Johnson

TE · #37

NYG · TE · Age 25

◆FLEX

Theo Johnson's recent injury status shift from out to questionable signals a potential return to the field, but his trailing average PPR points of 6.7 over the last four games indicate limited upside.

Role & volume
Johnson has maintained high snap shares in recent weeks, averaging 87.5% over the past four games, indicating he remains a key part of the offense despite inconsistent production.
Projected role
With a new head coach at the helm, Johnson's role could evolve, but his current value rank as TE39 suggests he is not expected to be an elite contributor in the upcoming season.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Johnson's floor is low given recent performances with zero PPR points in one game and a ceiling capped by his current value rank, making him a FLEX option at best.
Intel may be outdated · updated 6 days ago
Current statusNYG
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionSolid target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 41 pts above market
Our view
82
Market
41
Long career runwayProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Target Competition

    Isaiah Likely signed a market-rate multi-year deal in March 2026 to be the Giants' TE1 and built early chemistry with new head coach John Harbaugh and Jaxson Dart, capping how much of the route tree and red-zone work Johnson can claim.

  • Injury History

    Johnson missed a game to illness in 2025 and dealt with a camp shoulder issue this preseason; neither is chronic, but they add variance for a player already sharing snaps.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Scheme Fit

    Harbaugh's offense leans on heavy 12-personnel groupings, so the plan calls for two functional receiving tight ends on the field together rather than a strict starter/backup split.

  • Rising Usage

    Season-long target share is trending upward (16% and climbing) with a respectable 0.36 WOPR and 8.3 aDOT, pointing to a real down-field role rather than checkdown-only usage.

Format Comparison

Theo Johnson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest992—
PPR SF827-165