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Tez Johnson headshot

Tez Johnson

WR · #103

TB · WR · Age 24

▼SIT

Tez Johnson's recent performance, averaging just 2.0 PPR points over the last four games with a target share of only 4.1%, signals he is not a reliable fantasy option.

Role & volume
Johnson has seen limited usage in recent weeks, with an average snap share of just 19% and a target share of 4.1% over the last four games.
Projected role
Our value ranks Johnson as WR134, indicating he is not expected to see significant volume or production that would make him a viable fantasy option.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given his recent performance and low value rank, Johnson's range remains narrow with a floor of 0.0 PPR points and a ceiling unlikely to exceed 10 PPR points in any given week.
Intel may be outdated · updated 3 days ago
Current statusTB
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionSolid target shareAge 24 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 10 pts above market
Our view
39
Market
29
TD rebound upsideLong career runwayLow draft pedigree

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • TD Regression

    Johnson scored five touchdowns against an expected total of just 2.2 as a rookie, a gap that points to unsustainable finishing luck inflating his box score.

  • Scheme-Limited Profile

    A low air-yards share (12%) and modest overall volume point to a manufactured-touch/gadget role (jet sweeps, screens, short crossers) rather than a true perimeter separator, capping his ceiling behind more traditional route-runners in this offense.

  • Injury History

    A groin strain in early August 2026 training camp cost him practice reps just as he was pushing for an expanded role, letting rookie Ted Hurst work with the first unit in his absence; not a chronic issue, but it blunted his camp momentum right before Week 1 role decisions were made.

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Post-Evans Volume

    Mike Evans' free-agency departure ahead of 2026 removed a high-volume perimeter option from the passing game, leaving target-share pie in play even though Egbuka, Godwin, and McMillan have been the primary beneficiaries so far.

Format Comparison

Tez Johnson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest989—
PPR SF794-195