Risk Flags
3- TD Regression
Johnson scored five touchdowns against an expected total of just 2.2 as a rookie, a gap that points to unsustainable finishing luck inflating his box score.
- Scheme-Limited Profile
A low air-yards share (12%) and modest overall volume point to a manufactured-touch/gadget role (jet sweeps, screens, short crossers) rather than a true perimeter separator, capping his ceiling behind more traditional route-runners in this offense.
- Injury History
A groin strain in early August 2026 training camp cost him practice reps just as he was pushing for an expanded role, letting rookie Ted Hurst work with the first unit in his absence; not a chronic issue, but it blunted his camp momentum right before Week 1 role decisions were made.