Tetairoa McMillan

Of the 10 age-22 receivers most similar to Tetairoa McMillan's 2025 season, 4 finished WR1, 2 finished WR2, 1 finished WR3, 3 finished WR4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

McMillan enters Year 2 as Carolina's entrenched alpha, coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season (70-1,014-7, PPR WR12) built on elite opportunity: a 27% target share, 47% of the team's air yards, and a 0.74 WOPR on ~90% of snaps. The two real questions are the late-season target-share fade toward 19-20% and a minor offseason foot/ankle issue that held him out of OTA and minicamp team drills, though the team expects a normal training-camp return with no procedure. Carolina's third-round pick on Chris Brazzell deepens the WR room but poses no threat to McMillan's role — his competition remains rotational pieces (Coker, Legette) — and Bryce Young's continued development is the primary catalyst for a Year-2 leap. At 23 with an award-winning resume and top-tier usage metrics, he is a firm buy in dynasty over the next 1-2 months while the injury 'Questionable' tag and target-share fade create the last realistic discount window; hold long-term once camp confirms his health.