Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Tee Higgins headshot

Tee Higgins

WR · #26

CIN · WR · Age 27

Redraft rank
WR19
•WR19 · Flex play+4 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T2
Overall
#70
ADP
WR23
Consensus
Some split

Tee Higgins maintains his role as a top target in Cincinnati, despite recent depth changes.

Role & trajectory
Higgins has an established role with a high air yards share of 29.8%, indicating he is one of the primary receivers on the team.
Rest-of-season outlook
His target share is trending upwards, suggesting increased involvement in the offense as the season progresses.
Risk & schedule
While his snap share has slightly decreased, it remains high at 82.2%, mitigating any concerns about playing time.
Value vs ADP+4 slots of value
Our rank
WR19
vs
Market ADP
WR23
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR23 ADP · +4 slots
Notable
+
Source agreement
±5 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
Neutral: Projection rank, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-27 receivers most similar to Tee Higgins's 2025 season, 7 finished WR4+, 3 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

70%30%
  • WR4+70%(7)
  • Missed season30%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
70%hang on~5.9 PPG·30%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–7.610.1
10 most similar players
Michael Thomas94%
2021·Missed the season
Tre'Quan Smith94%
2022·WR113 · 5.9 PPG
Zach Pascal93%
2022·WR126 · 2.7 PPG
Randall Cobb90%
2019·WR47 · 10.3 PPG
Chris Conley89%
2019·WR46 · 9.8 PPG
JuJu Smith-Schuster89%
2024·WR104 · 4.6 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionSolid target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↓ 9 pts below market
Our view
71
Market
80
TD rebound upsideProducing above value

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns3

    Multiple concussions in 2025 season (3 career total) raise injury concerns heading into 2026. Head injury recurrence patterns can accelerate timeline concerns for recovery and future availability.

  • Target Volume2

    Higgins' target share trended down to a 24% average across his final four games of 2025, with a low of 10% in Week 16. As the clear WR2 behind Ja'Marr Chase, his floor is structurally capped by Chase's dominance of Burrow's attention.

  • Target Competition

    Ja'Marr Chase commanded 185 targets in 2025 and holds a value of — nearly double Higgins' — structurally capping Higgins' target share ceiling in a healthy Bengals offense. Higgins' last 4 games show wide variance (10–31% target share) reflecting this dynamic.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Elite QB Connection

    Joe Burrow remains one of the NFL's best QBs and has consistently targeted Higgins as a primary option. The duo's chemistry and Burrow's arm talent provide a stable foundation for production.

  • Tier 2 Ceiling

    At Tier 2 trade value, Higgins offers legitimate WR1 upside at a moderate acquisition cost compared to elite tier receivers. Healthy seasons have shown consistent top-12 WR production.

  • Contract Security

    Four-year, $115M deal signed in March 2025 eliminates trade/free agency uncertainty through 2028. Roster stability with Burrow ensures consistent QB-WR chemistry and offensive continuity.

  • Wr2 Production

    Despite No. 2 role, posted 11 receiving TDs in 2025 over just 15 games (59 rec, 846 yards). Demonstrates consistent red-zone effectiveness and scoring upside when healthy, placing him among league's most productive secondary receivers.

  • Scheme Fit

    In games where Ja'Marr Chase draws double coverage or misses time, Higgins has demonstrated WR1-caliber output (27.2 PPR points in Week 14). Any injury to Chase would immediately elevate Higgins to a top-5 dynasty WR asset for the duration.

  • Upside Catalyst

    When Chase misses time, Higgins historically steps into a top-8 role on a Burrow-led offense. His Week 14 line (27.2 pts, 31% target share) shows what the ceiling looks like when volume shifts his way — and Chase's injury history means this scenario is a real possibility.

Format Comparison

Tee Higgins — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest4,129—
PPR SF3,646-483