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TE #291
Tanner Koziol headshot
Tanner Koziol headshot

Tanner Koziol

Tier 14

JAX · TE · Age 22

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

221Declining

Tanner Koziol is a 5th-round (No.

Trajectory data unavailable

Prospect Profile2026 Class

45.9Composite Score

Market View

  • KTC(consensus market)
  • FantasyCalc(algorithmic)425

Composite Breakdown

Each row compares Tanner Koziol to other 2026 prospects in that signal — except Class × Draft Slot, which shows the editorial multiplier applied to Tanner Koziol's 2026-class + draft-slot combo (baseline 1.00× = neutral).

Computed from 4 of 6 signals

  • Draft Capital25%▼~averageRound 5, Pick 24
  • Combine Athletic17%•~average
  • Rookie ADP17%
  • Expert Consensus17%▲top 24%ECR #51
  • College Production15%
  • Class × Draft Slot9%▲+10% (1.10×)+10% (1.10×)

Class rank: 47th percentile

forty65%
vertical86%
broad_jump85%
Speed57%
burst_score87%
HaSS69%
sparq_x86%
BMI1%
Catch Rad.97%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tanner Koziol's Speed Score?
Tanner Koziol's Speed Score ranks in the 56.74778761061947th percentile among NFL prospects at the position.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (8 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Depth Chart

    Koziol projects as TE3 or TE4 in Jacksonville behind Brenton Strange, Nate Boerkircher, and others — meaningful snaps as a rookie are unlikely, making him fantasy-irrelevant in 2026.

  • Target Competition

    Nate Boerkircher (R2, pick 56) was drafted three rounds ahead of Koziol in the same class and is the favored long-term piece if Strange departs. Koziol must leapfrog him to claim the 2027 starting role, a steep capital disadvantage.

  • Draft Capital

    Selected 164th overall (5th round), signaling the Jaguars view Koziol as a developmental piece rather than an immediate contributor; low draft capital reduces his urgency in the offense.

Opportunity Flags

5
  • Role Expansion

    Brenton Strange is set to become a free agent after the 2026 season, creating a realistic path for Koziol to compete for or win the starting TE role as early as 2027.

  • Production Profile

    Koziol led all FBS tight ends with 74 receptions and ranked 2nd in receiving yards (726) in 2025, earning First-Team All-Big 12 honors — elite volume production at the college level validates his hands and route running.

  • Scheme Fit

    At 6'6", 247 lbs with elite contested-catch ability, Koziol profiles as a red-zone mismatch weapon; Jacksonville has historically struggled in the red zone, giving him a defined role to grow into.

  • Youth Upside

    Young TE (22) — still in value appreciation phase

  • Age Concerns

    Born March 29, 2004, Koziol is just 22 years old — young for a player with five years of college experience, giving him ample runway to develop into a legitimate starter by his mid-20s.

Scenarios (4)
  • Developmental stash, buried on depth chartlikely-5%

    Strange stays healthy and Boerkircher wins the TE2 role in 2026, leaving Koziol inactive or TE4

  • Wins 2027 starting role over Boerkircherunlikely+40%

    Strange leaves in free agency and Koziol's receiving production outshines Boerkircher in camp/preseason

  • Settles in as long-term TE2/committee piecepossible+10%

    Strange departs but Boerkircher leads a timeshare, with Koziol carving a receiving-down niche

  • Never cracks the rotation, off rosterpossible-30%

    Loses 2026 camp battle to Long/Herbert/Morris and is waived or stashed on practice squad

Format Comparison

Tanner Koziol — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest221—
PPR 1QB203-18