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Tank Bigsby headshot

Tank Bigsby

RB · #53

PHI · RB · Age 23

Redraft rank
RB58
•RB58 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#262
ADP
RB57
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB58
vs
Market ADP
RB57
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 23 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB58 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±30 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-23 backs most similar to Tank Bigsby's 2025 season, 1 finished RB3, 5 finished RB4+, 4 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%40%
  • RB310%(1)
  • RB4+50%(5)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
60%hang on~5.5 PPG·40%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–5.56.4
10 most similar players
Jordan Mason97%
2023·RB70 · 5.0 PPG
Malik Davis95%
2023·Missed the season
Emanuel Wilson94%
2024·RB46 · 5.5 PPG
Justice Hill93%
2021·Missed the season
Kene Nwangwu92%
2022·Missed the season
Blake Corum92%
2025·RB34 · 7.1 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Tank Bigsby is a 23-year-old, highly efficient (5.9 YPC in 2025) back stuck behind entrenched workhorse Saquon Barkley in Philadelphia, finishing the year at RB66 (3.5 PPG, ~11% snaps) and barely registering in the playoffs. The Eagles made no RB additions this offseason — the 2026 draft brought WR Makai Lemon and TE Eli Stowers, not backfield competition — so Bigsby's path to the No. 2 role and contingent volume is clean, with only Will Shipley sharing change-of-pace work. Two catalysts give him real optionality: persistent OTA buzz that new OC Sean Mannion may run a two-back rotation to keep Barkley fresh, and Barkley's injury history, which makes Bigsby one of the most valuable handcuffs in dynasty. The key concern is timing: Bigsby hits free agency after 2026, so his standalone-value window depends on either a rotation emerging this fall or a 2027 landing spot that hands him touches. Recommendation: HOLD as a high-end handcuff; if you don't roster Barkley, this is a cheap, contender-only BUY for the injury-contingency and possible-trade upside, but don't pay up expecting standalone volume in Philadelphia.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionElite carry shareAge 23 · ascendingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↓ 8 pts below market
Our view
30
Market
38
Thin opportunity shareLong career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns

    At 24.4 years old, Bigsby is entering the prime-to-decline transition phase for RBs. With minimal usage history, the window to establish himself as a featured back is rapidly closing; extended reserve role limits ceiling development.

  • Depth Chart

    Bigsby is firmly entrenched as the RB3 behind Saquon Barkley (who just signed a $41.2M extension through 2028) and Will Shipley. With Barkley locked in as the workhorse and only 28 years old, Bigsby's path to meaningful volume is extremely limited barring injury.

  • Receiving Limitation

    Bigsby has only 8 career catches in 34 games, making him one-dimensional in modern NFL offenses. This severely caps his PPR upside and makes him unusable in committee situations where pass-catching backs like Shipley exist.

  • Target Volume

    Bigsby recorded only 3 receptions for 32 yards across the entire 2025 season with a 0% target share, making him nearly worthless in PPR formats regardless of snap opportunities. His career receiving profile is a structural limitation in modern dynasty scoring.

  • Depth Chart Ceiling

    Saquon Barkley signed a 2-year, $41.2M extension in March 2026, locking him as the Eagles' featured back through at least 2027-28. This structurally eliminates any organic path for Bigsby to inherit the role outside of injury.

  • Usage & Volume

    Bigsby averaged 11% snap share and 11% carry share across the 2025 season, producing just 3.5 PPG. Only W18 (59% snaps, 17.6 pts) showed lead-back output, almost certainly a Barkley rest game with no playoff implications.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns2

    Barkley suffered a stinger and knee soreness in late season/playoffs and experienced high ankle sprain in 2024. At 2,005 carries in 2024 and another heavy season, injury risk is material; backup role could translate to featured opportunities.

  • Efficient Rushing Profile

    Bigsby averaged 5.9 yards per carry in 2025 (344 yards on 58 attempts), the highest for Eagles RB with 50+ carries in 64 years. When given volume, he's a high-efficiency runner whose production value significantly exceeds touches.

  • Elite Efficiency

    Bigsby averaged 5.9 yards per carry on 58 attempts in 2025, demonstrating he can produce at an elite level when given opportunities. Coach Sirianni praised his ability to make defenders miss while finishing through contact.

  • Future Timeline

    Barkley will be 29-30 during the window when Bigsby hits his own peak (ages 24-26). If Philadelphia extends Bigsby's contract, he could inherit a premium offensive environment anchored by Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and Dallas Goedert as Barkley ages out.

  • Trade Catalyst

    Bigsby has been named the Eagles' most valuable trade chip — his ~4.9 YPC efficiency, cheap contract, and scheme-versatile profile make a midseason trade to a lead/committee role a live path to standalone value.

Format Comparison

Tank Bigsby — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,516—
PPR SF1,301-215