T.J. Hockenson

TE · #22

MIN · TE · Age 29

FLEX

T.J. Hockenson's consistent snap share and recent target uptick signal a reliable role, but his TE14 value rank caps upside.

Role & volume

Hockenson maintains an average snap share of 72.5% over the last four games, indicating he is a key part of Minnesota's offense.

Projected role

With his team continuity and recent uptick in targets, Hockenson projects to maintain a solid No. 1 tight end role for the season ahead.

Range (floor–ceiling)

Given his TE14 value rank, Hockenson's range is limited; he offers a floor of 1.2 PPR points and a ceiling around 10-12 PPR points per game.

Intel may be outdated · updated 47 days ago

Current statusMIN

Our read vs. the market

Beta

Buy-low — we value him above the market

Why

Solid usage productionAverage target shareAge 29 · veteran

Draft-capital pedigree
Expected fantasy points
Dynasty age curve

Our view vs Market↑ 21 pts above market

Our view

Market

High draft pedigree

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

Usage & Volume
Target share slid from 21% in Weeks 13 and 15 down to just 4% by the finale even as snap share held near full-time, showing the passing-game role can compress independent of playing time.
Contract Situation
A 2026 offseason pay-cut restructure pushed free agency out to 2027, turning this season into a performance-tied prove-it year rather than a settled long-term arrangement.

Opportunity Flags

QB Dependency
Kyler Murray has a track record of funneling heavy target volume to a receiving tight end in his prior offense, and early camp reports point to a developing red-zone rapport with Hockenson — a real path to reversing the target-share slide if it carries over.

Format Comparison

T.J. Hockenson — Format Comparison

Format	Value	vs Best
PPR 1QBBest	1,579	—
PPR SF	1,430	-149

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