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Stefon Diggs headshot

Stefon Diggs

WR · #84

FA · WR · Age 32

Redraft rank
WR61
▲WR61 · Depth+11 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#121
ADP
WR72
Consensus
Tight

Stefon Diggs' target share fell to a playoff-low 7% in his final game with New England, signaling potential role uncertainty for the upcoming season.

Role & trajectory
Diggs is entering an unsigned free agent phase at age 32, facing significant competition and role ambiguity. His recent target share decline to 7% in his final game with New England highlights potential committee risks.
Projected outlook
As a WR61 on our value board, Diggs projects as a flex option for the upcoming season, relying heavily on landing spot and QB support. His recent production (85/1,013/4 in 2025) suggests he can still contribute but lacks elite upside.
Risk & schedule
Diggs' age and ACL recovery history pose significant risks to his long-term durability. Additionally, Kayshon Boutte's emergence as a big-play threat could further limit Diggs' target share in any new role.
Value vs ADP+11 slots of value
Our rank
WR61
vs
Market ADP
WR72
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR72 ADP · +11 slots
Major
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR61 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Age / role
age 32 WR
Notable
Neutral: Source agreement
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 8 age-32 receivers most similar to Stefon Diggs's 2025 season, 8 finished WR4+.

Based on just 8 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

100%
  • WR4+100%(8)
Next-season PPG range5.2 median
3.8p25–p75 3.9–8.415.2
8 most similar players
Sterling Shepard67%
2024·WR94 · 6.2 PPG
T.Y. Hilton63%
2020·WR41 · 10.6 PPG
Kalif Raymond63%
2025·WR99 · 4.0 PPG
DeAndre Hopkins60%
2025·WR94 · 3.9 PPG
Antonio Brown58%
2021·WR62 · 17.3 PPG
Tim Patrick58%
2025·WR108 · 3.7 PPG

+2 more analogs

Current statusFree Agent
Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns

    At 32.2 years old, Diggs is entering the typical decline phase for WRs, with limited runway for sustained elite production. Dynasty leagues demand multi-year value, which becomes increasingly difficult to project at this age.

  • Legal Jeopardy

    Diggs has a court date set for Friday facing charges of assault and strangulation over an alleged incident with a personal chef. While the Patriots support him, potential suspension or off-field distraction poses dynasty risk.

  • Cap Casualty Risk

    Diggs' 2026 cap hit jumps to $26.5 million with a non-guaranteed $20.6 million base salary. The Patriots could save $20.8 million by designating him a post-June 1 release, making him a prime cut candidate despite leading the team in receiving yards.

  • Legal Issues

    Diggs faces felony strangulation and misdemeanor assault charges with arraignment scheduled for February 13, 2026. Additional civil lawsuits for defamation and assault allegations create NFL suspension risk and roster uncertainty regardless of criminal case outcomes.

  • Landing Spot

    Diggs was released by New England in March 2026 to avoid guaranteeing a $6M option (salary would have jumped from $2.9M to $20.6M), and remains unsigned in mid-April. He is expected to wait until after the NFL Draft, leaving his team, role, and QB situation entirely unknown.

  • Offensive Context

    Diggs is now separated from Drake Maye, the elite young QB who drove his WR9 PPR finish. His next QB situation is a near-certain downgrade with significant uncertainty about volume support.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Elite QB Support

    Drake Maye completed 72.0% of passes for 4,394 yards with 31 TDs and 8 INTs, posting a 113.5 passer rating and 450 rushing yards. Elite QB play supports Diggs' production floor despite age.

  • Elite QB Play

    Drake Maye posted a 113.5 passer rating with 4,394 yards, 31 TDs, and just 8 INTs in 2025, establishing himself as a legitimate franchise QB. This offensive infrastructure provides Diggs short-term WR1 upside if he returns to New England.

  • Alpha Role Security

    Diggs led the Patriots with 1,013 receiving yards and remains Drake Maye's clear top target. If retained, he enters 2026 as the undisputed WR1 with minimal competition from DeMario Douglas and other depth pieces.

  • Landing Spot

    Links to the Kansas City Chiefs or Baltimore Ravens would place Diggs alongside a top-5 QB in a pass-heavy offense, which could preserve short-window WR2 production and temporarily stabilize dynasty value.

  • Elite Production

    An 85/1,013/4 season at age 32 is a legitimate resume — Diggs's WR9 PPR finish gives him real market value in free agency and creates a sell-high window in dynasty where owners anchor on recent output.

  • Offensive Context

    If Diggs lands with a QB-rich contender needing a proven possession receiver, a one-year prove-it deal could restore meaningful dynasty relevance above his current depressed Tier 5 floor.

Format Comparison

Stefon Diggs — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,377—
PPR SF1,185-192