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Sione Vaki headshot

Sione Vaki

RB · #118

DET · RB · Age 24

Redraft rank
RB120
◆RB120 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#605
ADP
RB64
Consensus
Tight

(insufficient first-party data)

Value vs ADP-56 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB120
vs
Market ADP
RB64
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 24 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB120 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB64 ADP · -56 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 age-23 backs most similar to Sione Vaki's 2024 season, 7 finished RB4+, 3 missed the season.

Veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

71%29%
  • RB4+71%(7)
  • Missed season29%(3)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
71%hang on~5.0 PPG·29%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.2–5.77.3
10 most similar players
Zamir White96%
2023·RB57 · 5.7 PPG
Jordan Mason92%
2023·RB70 · 5.0 PPG
Dwayne Washington90%
2019·RB98 · 1.9 PPG
Chris Evans87%
2022·RB105 · 3.2 PPG
Brian Hill87%
2019·RB59 · 6.7 PPG
Jonathan Ward85%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart2

    Gibbs is the locked-in alpha with Dan Campbell confirming an expanded role post-Montgomery. Detroit then signed Isiah Pacheco on a 1-year deal to fill the RB2 vacancy, placing Vaki third on the depth chart with near-zero path to volume in a healthy backfield.

  • Roster Cut Candidate

    Vaki is considered a likely cut candidate heading into 2026, with the Lions able to save $942,823 in cap space by releasing him. Tom Kennedy's emergence as kick returner has eliminated Vaki's primary special teams value.

  • Injury Concerns

    Vaki suffered multiple injuries throughout 2025 that prevented development, and appeared in only 16 games as a rookie with just 6 rushes for 14 yards and 3 receptions for 37 yards. His inability to stay healthy raises serious durability questions.

  • Minimal Offensive Role

    Vaki hasn't received non-garbage time carries despite being on the roster, and returned just two kickoffs for 39 total yards in 2025. He has zero established offensive role behind Gibbs and Montgomery.

  • Usage & Volume

    Vaki posted 0% snap share and 0% target share across his final four 2025 games (W14–W18), recording zero fantasy points — a total blackout from offensive involvement heading into the offseason.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Change Of Scenery

    If Detroit trades or releases one of their established backs, Vaki could emerge as a primary option in Ben Johnson's passing-friendly offense, which has shown success utilizing RBs in the receiving game.

  • Montgomery Trade Scenario

    If Montgomery is traded/released, Vaki could theoretically compete for RB2 reps. However, new OC Drew Petzing's system may prioritize established depth backs over developmental projects.

  • Montgomery Departure Possible

    Lions GM Brad Holmes was noncommittal about Montgomery's future, stating 'He deserves to be in a situation where his skillset can be utilized.' The Lions could save $6 million in 2026 cap space with a post-June 1 cut.

  • Injury Concerns

    Pacheco is on a bargain 1-year, $1.81M deal and carries a documented injury history from Kansas City; if he misses time, Vaki is the next man up in one of the NFL's top offenses behind Goff, St. Brown, and Williams.

  • Draft Capital

    Detroit used zero draft capital on RBs in 2026 (only a R5 WR in Kendrick Law), leaving Vaki's RB3 roster spot intact and free from incoming rookie displacement pressure.

  • Offensive Context

    David Montgomery was traded to Houston this offseason, vacating ~150+ touches; Pacheco absorbs the bulk but the No. 3 role behind two backs over 27 is one injury away from real volume in an elite Lions offense.

Format Comparison

Sione Vaki — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,065—
PPR SF934-131