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Shedeur Sanders headshot

Shedeur Sanders

QB · #32

CLE · QB · Age 24

Redraft rank
QB34
•QB34 · Flex play
Tier
T3
Overall
#245
ADP
QB28
Consensus
Coin flip

Shedeur Sanders enters the 2026 season as a speculative flex option with an open quarterback battle and a stable rushing floor.

Role & trajectory
Sanders's role is uncertain heading into training camp, competing for the starting job against Deshaun Watson who has $45M guaranteed but returns from a torn Achilles. Sanders earned first-team reps in OTAs, indicating an open competition.
Projected outlook
Despite his rookie struggles with a 72.9 passer rating and 7:10 TD:INT ratio, Sanders has the potential to secure the starting job if Watson's recovery is delayed or he underperforms. A stable rushing floor of around 12% carry share sweetens his superflex value.
Risk & schedule
The risk lies in the open quarterback battle, with Watson holding a nominal inside track despite his injury history and contract status. Cleveland's front office may be willing to move on from both quarterbacks if neither proves to be a long-term solution.
Value vs ADP-6 slots (reach)
Our rank
QB34
vs
Market ADP
QB28
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 24 QB
Minor
Case against
−
ADP value
QB28 ADP · -6 slots
Notable
−
Source agreement
±61 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Projection rank
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 age-24 quarterbacks most similar to Shedeur Sanders's 2025 season, 1 finished QB1, 1 finished QB2, 2 finished QB3, 5 finished QB4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → QB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

21%49%
  • QB19%(1)
  • QB210%(1)
  • QB321%(2)
  • QB4+49%(5)
  • Missed season11%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range8.2 median
0.0p25–p75 0.0–15.719.3
10 most similar players
Spencer Rattler98%
2025·QB36 · 11.0 PPG
Tyson Bagent97%
2024·QB58 · -0.1 PPG
Nick Mullens91%
2019·Missed the season
Kyle Allen90%
2020·QB44 · 11.2 PPG
C.J. Beathard88%
2018·QB36 · 15.0 PPG
Brock Purdy85%
2024·QB13 · 17.8 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • QB Battle

    Sanders enters 2026 in an open camp battle with Deshaun Watson, who carries $45M guaranteed and the GM-stated 'inside track' despite returning from a torn Achilles. Sanders ran some first-team OTA reps, but the job is not secured and HC Todd Monken set no deadline before the Sept. 13 opener.

  • Efficiency Risk

    His 2025 rookie tape was shaky: 56.6% completions, 7 TD to 10 INT, a 72.9 passer rating and 21 sacks across seven starts. Cleveland's front office has signaled it may move on entirely if neither Watson nor Sanders proves to be a long-term answer.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Path To Volume

    Monken publicly called Cleveland's room 'two starting-level quarterbacks,' and Sanders' OTA surge — taking first reps in nearly every competitive drill on a Wednesday practice — has the competition genuinely open against a 30-year-old, expensive incumbent coming off a major injury.

  • Rushing Floor

    A stable ~12% carry share gives him a mobility-driven scoring floor that lifts his superflex value the moment he secures snaps, a meaningful edge in 2QB/SF formats at his depressed price.

Format Comparison

Shedeur Sanders — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest1,526—
PPR 1QB1,105-421