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Saquon Barkley headshot

Saquon Barkley

RB · #14

PHI · RB · Age 29

▲START

Saquon Barkley's recent carry share of 73.1% in his last game signals he is the primary rusher for PHI, despite competition from Jordan Mims.

Role & volume
Barkley has maintained a high rushing volume with an average carry share of 64.9% over his last four games, indicating he is the lead back in this committee.
Projected role
Despite Jordan Mims returning to the roster, Barkley's recent performance and team context suggest he will continue as the primary rusher for PHI, with a projected carry share of around 60-70%.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Barkley's floor is set by his lowest PPR points total in recent games at 6.8, while his ceiling remains high given his role and the potential for increased targets as a receiver out of the backfield.
Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago
Current statusPHI
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionElite carry shareAge 29 · window closingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 1 pts above market
Our view
83
Market
82
High draft pedigreeProducing above valueElite carry share

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Age Concerns

    RB age 29 — entering/past typical value cliff

  • Usage & Volume

    A 61% carry share and 79%+ snap rate reflect a true workhorse load layered on top of a deep playoff run, raising cumulative wear-and-tear risk for a back already past typical RB peak.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Elite Production

    Barkley generated real red-zone opportunity (12.3 expected TDs) but scored under expectation (-3.3), pointing to positive touchdown regression as a buy-low signal independent of role change.

  • Scheme Fit

    Reporting around the new wide-zone scheme under OC Sean Mannion describes an effort to get Barkley more involved as a receiver, including flexing him out wide and increasing screen usage, which could raise his weekly ceiling if it materializes in the box score.

  • Draft Capital

    Philadelphia's 2026 draft capital went to a receiver, a tight end, and a developmental quarterback rather than the backfield, leaving Barkley without any drafted same-position competition behind him.

Format Comparison

Saquon Barkley — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest4,455—
PPR SF3,771-684