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Samaje Perine headshot

Samaje Perine

RB · #111

CIN · RB · Age 30

Redraft rank
RB61
◆RB61 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#273
ADP
RB54
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-7 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB61
vs
Market ADP
RB54
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB61 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB54 ADP · -7 slots
Notable
−
Source agreement
±99 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
−
Age / role
age 30 RB
Notable
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-30 backs most similar to Samaje Perine's 2025 season, 1 finished RB2, 2 finished RB3, 3 finished RB4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

18%29%41%
  • RB212%(1)
  • RB318%(2)
  • RB4+29%(3)
  • Missed season41%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
59%hang on~8.2 PPG·41%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–8.610.0
10 most similar players
Tevin Coleman94%
2022·Missed the season
Jerick McKinnon85%
2022·RB19 · 10.5 PPG
Nick Chubb79%
2025·RB50 · 5.6 PPG
Le'Veon Bell72%
2022·Missed the season
Latavius Murray70%
2020·RB33 · 9.1 PPG
Raheem Mostert66%
2021·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Samaje Perine is a 30-year-old (31 in September) passing-down specialist locked behind clear lead back Chase Brown in Cincinnati, with Tahj Brooks also ahead on the dynasty board. The 2026 draft did not add an RB (R4 WR Colbie Young, R7 TE Jack Endries), so his role isn't threatened by new capital — but the role itself is marginal: RB57, 5.2 PPG, carry share trending down, and only a modest target-share bump to keep him relevant in PPR. He's under contract through 2026 but on a non-guaranteed deal and is reportedly a genuine roster-bubble candidate in camp, which is the dominant downside risk. The only real upside is contingent handcuff value if Brown gets hurt, and even then the Bengals may import a more dynamic back. This is a clear SELL/avoid in dynasty — there is no appreciation path at his age and role; cash out for any pick or depth flier now, and in win-now contexts hold only as bench Brown insurance through the 2026 season.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    At 30.4 years old turning 31 in September, Perine is at critical RB decline phase. FOX Sports reports he's not guaranteed to make the 53-man roster out of training camp. Soft tissue injury history compounds durability concerns at this age.

  • Lead Back Replacement

    Chase Brown is the clear lead back with elite role. Perine's role is explicitly complementary at best—one-third backfield work pre-injury, with no path to meaningful volume increase.

  • Roster Bubble Risk

    At $1.4M salary with an injured ankle, Perine faces legitimate risk of being cut before 2026 training camp. No guaranteed money provides easy cap relief if Bengals reassess youth-focused depth.

  • Depth Chart

    Chase Brown is the unquestioned lead back after posting 1,019 rushing yards in 2025 and is in contract extension talks with the Bengals. Brown played 88% of snaps from Week 9 onward, leaving Perine with minimal complementary touches.

  • Backfield Competition

    Chase Brown is the entrenched RB1 and reportedly working on an extension. Tahj Brooks also competes for backup snaps, leaving Perine with a razor-thin touch share absent injury.

  • Roster Security

    Reporting indicates he is not guaranteed a 53-man roster spot out of 2026 training camp despite being under contract ($1.4M base, $400K roster bonus, only $40K guaranteed). A camp cut would collapse his dynasty value to near-zero.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Injury Insurance

    Chase Brown is the only established lead back; a multi-week Brown injury vaults Perine into a volume role in one of the NFL's best passing offenses alongside Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins.

  • Passing Game Role

    Perine has maintained consistent pass-catching work (3rd/4th down back). Short-term PPR value exists if utilized, though declining athleticism limits ceiling.

  • Handcuff Value

    Perine finished 2025 with 382 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 84 carries plus 17 catches. He provides emergency RB1 upside in deep benches if Chase Brown suffers injury in the elite Bengals offense with Joe Burrow and top receivers.

  • Passing Down Role

    Perine maintained pass-catching and pass-protection duties before his injury, handling a decent chunk of pass-down and two-minute work. This niche provides minimal PPR floor value if he makes the roster.

  • Offensive Context

    Even a limited role behind Burrow and elite pass-catchers means Perine's counting stats outperform his raw touch share; scoring environment provides a small ceiling boost on handcuff activations.

  • Injury Concerns

    If Chase Brown misses extended time, Perine moves to starter role in elite offensive environment with Ja'Marr Chase, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins. This is a deep-bench hold only—minimal upside but contingency value exists.

Format Comparison

Samaje Perine — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest309—
PPR SF240-69