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Sam LaPorta headshot

Sam LaPorta

TE · #7

DET · TE · Age 25

Redraft rank
TE6
•TE6 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#100
ADP
TE5
Consensus
Tight

Sam LaPorta's 9.3% target share in a small sample size hints at his potential to be an elite TE, but back injury risks cloud his outlook.

Role & trajectory
LaPorta's 90.7% snap share and 9.3% target share before Week 10 indicate he was on track for a significant role in Detroit's offense, but competition from new OC Drew Petzing's scheme could alter his touch-share.
Projected outlook
LaPorta is projected to be the TE6 based on our value board, reflecting his potential as an elite player if he can return healthy and maintain his pre-injury form.
Risk & schedule
Back injury risks are significant for LaPorta, who underwent surgery after Week 10. His training-camp status remains uncertain, with extension talks likely contingent on a full recovery.
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
TE6
vs
Market ADP
TE5
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
TE6 · proj. consensus
Major
+
Source agreement
±1 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: ADP value, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-25 tight ends most similar to Sam LaPorta's 2025 season, 2 finished TE1, 3 finished TE2, 1 finished TE3, 4 finished TE4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

20%29%39%
  • TE120%(2)
  • TE229%(3)
  • TE311%(1)
  • TE4+39%(4)
Next-season PPG range5.9 median
1.6p25–p75 2.2–8.710.5
10 most similar players
Cole Kmet90%
2025·TE32 · 5.0 PPG
Trey McBride88%
2023·TE8 · 10.7 PPG
Drew Sample86%
2021·TE70 · 2.3 PPG
Anthony Firkser82%
2022·TE81 · 2.4 PPG
Jonnu Smith78%
2019·TE15 · 6.8 PPG
Theo Johnson77%
2025·TE19 · 8.5 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionStrong target shareAge 25 · ascending
Our view vs Market↑ 2 pts above market
Our view
94
Market
92
Long career runwayElite target shareProducing above value

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury Concerns

    LaPorta underwent surgery on a fully herniated disc suffered Week 10 vs. Washington, ending his season at 9 games. As of early 2026 Campbell called an early return 'off the table' and his training-camp status is uncertain; back injuries carry real recurrence and durability risk for a TE.

  • Contract Situation

    He enters 2026 in the final year of his rookie deal with extension talks (projected ~4yr/$68M) likely gated on how he recovers. KC trade speculation exists but is unlikely given Detroit's win-now posture.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Scheme Fit

    New OC Drew Petzing is expected to lean into 12 (two-TE) and 13 personnel, which can raise LaPorta's route volume and red-zone usage when healthy.

  • Secure Role

    No meaningful TE competition — only backup Tyler Conklin behind him, and Detroit added just an R5 WR in the draft. His path to elite TE volume in a top offense is fully intact if he returns to form.

  • Elite Production

    Before the injury he was on pace for a career year (40/489/3 in 9 games, improved run blocking) in an elite offense alongside St. Brown, Gibbs and Goff — proven top-5 TE ceiling at age 25.

Format Comparison

Sam LaPorta — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,863—
PPR SF3,474-389