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Sam Howell headshot

Sam Howell

QB · #66

DAL · QB · Age 25

Redraft rank
QB71
◆QB71 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#488
ADP
QB51
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADP-20 slots (reach)
Our rank
QB71
vs
Market ADP
QB51
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
QB71 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
QB51 ADP · -20 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
Analysis

Howell signed a 1-year, $2.5M deal with Dallas on March 10, 2026, and is in an open QB2 competition that Joe Milton currently leads given his year in Brian Schottenheimer's system — and at least one Cowboys beat reporter projects Howell as the odd man out if Dallas keeps only two quarterbacks. That makes his floor a roster-bubble journeyman with no standalone fantasy value; his ceiling requires both winning the backup job and a Prescott injury, after which the supporting cast (CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Jake Ferguson) is legitimately appealing. The 2026 draft added no QB capital to Dallas, so the threat to his role is internal (Milton), not incoming. Dynasty value is already near the floor and community sentiment treats him as a deep-roster QB lottery ticket. Recommendation: SELL/drop in all but the deepest superflex leagues — he's a roster-spot casualty risk by September; only hold as a free-roster Prescott-handcuff stash in 2QB/SF formats where QB scarcity gives him marginal speculative value.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (7 flags)

Risk Flags

5
  • Depth Chart

    Howell signed a 1-year $2.5M deal with Dallas in March 2026, placing him behind Dak Prescott with no realistic path to snaps barring injury. His dynasty value is effectively zero unless Prescott gets hurt.

  • Career Trajectory

    Since his 2023 Washington starting role, Howell has cycled through four teams (Seattle, Minnesota, Philadelphia, Dallas) in under two years — a clear signal that the league views him as a depth piece, not a viable starter.

  • Roster Bubble

    Howell signed a 1-year, $2.5M deal into an open QB2 competition that Joe Milton leads (Milton has a year in Schottenheimer's system). The Athletic's Jon Machota projects Howell as the odd man out if Dallas keeps only two QBs.

  • Role Outlook

    Each successive backup signing narrows the window to reclaim a starting job. At 25, he still has time, but the pattern of short-term, low-value contracts suggests diminishing franchise confidence.

  • Usage & Volume

    No standalone starting opportunity on the roster, and the 2026 draft added no QB capital — but that's neutral, not helpful, because Dak and Milton already block the room.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Injury Opportunity

    If Dak Prescott misses significant time, Howell steps into a Dallas offense with elite weapons and could temporarily spike in dynasty trade value. The scenario is low-probability but would be the single biggest catalyst.

  • Age & Upside

    At 25, Howell is not yet past the typical QB development window. A strong camp performance or an offseason trade to a starter-needy team in 2027 could reset his dynasty outlook entirely.

Format Comparison

Sam Howell — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest532—
PPR 1QB318-214