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Ryan Flournoy headshot

Ryan Flournoy

WR · #97

DAL · WR · Age 26

Redraft rank
WR69
•WR69 · Depth+6 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#185
ADP
WR75
Consensus
Coin flip

Flournoy's rising role and consistent efficiency make him a reliable starter for the rest of the season.

Role & trajectory
Flournoy has seen his target share and snap share rise week-over-week, indicating an increasing role in the offense.
Rest-of-season outlook
With a rising trend in transactions and consistent efficiency metrics, Flournoy is holding strong as a mid-tier WR option for the remainder of the season.
Risk & schedule
While there are no immediate injury concerns, his value could be impacted by matchup quality or further role adjustments within the team's offense.
Value vs ADP+6 slots of value
Our rank
WR69
vs
Market ADP
WR75
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR75 ADP · +6 slots
Notable
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR69 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±9 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameHigh confidence

Of the 10 receivers most similar to Ryan Flournoy, 9 finished WR4+, 1 was off fantasy rosters.

91%
  • WR4+91%(9)
  • Off rosters9%(1)
Year-two PPG range6.0 median
1.1p25–p75 2.3–7.58.2
10 most similar players
Andrei Iosivas97%
2024·WR67 · 7.0 PPG
Jauan Jennings96%
2023·WR70 · 5.6 PPG
Xavier Hutchinson94%
2024·WR104 · 2.3 PPG
Calvin Austin93%
2024·WR69 · 6.6 PPG
Bo Melton88%
2024·WR110 · 2.1 PPG
Michael Wilson80%
2024·WR61 · 7.8 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Average usage productionStrong target shareAge 26 · ascending
Our view vs Market↓ 3 pts below market
Our view
24
Market
27
Long career runwayLow draft pedigreeThin opportunity share

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume

    Flournoy remains stuck behind CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens on the depth chart, with Pickens expected to receive the franchise tag. Since Lamb returned in Week 7 2025, Flournoy failed to see more than two targets when all receivers were healthy, limiting his ceiling significantly.

  • Target Competition

    Flournoy sits permanently behind CeeDee Lamb and franchise-tagged George Pickens, who together consumed the overwhelming majority of Dallas targets — Pickens alone led the team with 137 targets in 2025. Flournoy's weekly relevance is structurally capped unless a starter misses significant time.

  • Usage & Volume

    Flournoy's target share swung violently from 6% (W16) to 30% (W18), exposing how starter health dictates his entire production profile. His 7.6 PPG average reflects a player who is borderline-startable in most weeks without an injury bump.

  • Injury Concerns2

    Flournoy's 2025 production (40 catches, 475 yards, 4 TDs) largely came when Lamb or Pickens were injured. His two 100-yard games and career-high performances occurred when CeeDee Lamb left early or was absent, suggesting limited standalone upside.

  • Offensive Context

    Dallas ended long-term contract negotiations with Pickens and will play him on the franchise tag in 2026. If Pickens re-signs long-term, Flournoy's WR3 role is locked in for years; if Pickens walks after 2026, the depth chart reshuffles significantly in Flournoy's favor.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Elite Production

    Flournoy became one of Dak Prescott's top targets, posting 40 catches for 475 yards and four receiving touchdowns, earning NFL.com's designation as Dallas' unsung hero. He earned an 80.3 PFF overall grade and brought in 40 of his 42 catchable targets, ranking fourth on the Cowboys offense in PFF Wins Above Replacement.

  • Extension Negotiation

    Flournoy must be a priority for extension consideration, having already posted two 100-yard receiving games this season, and continuing his trajectory could cause his asking price to skyrocket by March 2027. Dynasty managers should act before extension talks potentially inflate value further.

  • Pickens Departure Scenario

    If George Pickens leaves via trade or free agency despite franchise tag expectations, Flournoy would inherit the WR3 role with legitimate WR2 upside in a high-volume passing offense led by Dak Prescott. Multiple reports suggest a tag-and-trade remains possible.

  • Depth Chart Opportunity

    When starter health faltered, Flournoy delivered — W14 (26.5 pts, 28% tgt share) and W18 (30% tgt share, 87% snaps) confirm legitimate WR2-level output. One Lamb or Pickens injury of 4+ games would make him a weekly fantasy starter and materially spike dynasty value.

  • Role Expansion

    Pickens on the franchise tag with failed long-term negotiations is a genuine WR2 vacancy catalyst for 2027. If Pickens walks in free agency, Flournoy steps into the WR2 role opposite Lamb with Dak Prescott — a legitimate 80+ catch upside ceiling.

  • Efficiency Metrics

    Flournoy's 0.45 EPA per target ranked second on the Cowboys behind only Pickens in 2025. He caught 40 of 42 catchable targets and earned an 80.3 PFF overall grade, suggesting he can produce efficiently when targeted despite limited volume.

Format Comparison

Ryan Flournoy — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,041—
PPR SF912-129