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Roschon Johnson headshot

Roschon Johnson

RB · #98

CHI · RB · Age 25

Redraft rank
RB127
◆RB127 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#468
ADP
RB61
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADP-66 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB127
vs
Market ADP
RB61
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB127 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB61 ADP · -66 slots
Major
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 backs most similar to Roschon Johnson, 3 finished RB1, 1 finished RB3, 5 finished RB4+, 1 was off fantasy rosters.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Off rosters → RB1 — directional, not a forecast.

27%51%
  • RB127%(3)
  • RB313%(1)
  • RB4+51%(5)
  • Off rosters9%(1)
Year-two PPG range9.1 median
2.5p25–p75 5.7–12.817.5
10 most similar players
Zach Charbonnet91%
2024·RB26 · 10.8 PPG
Tank Bigsby83%
2024·RB38 · 8.6 PPG
Tyjae Spears81%
2024·RB42 · 9.5 PPG
Kenneth Gainwell76%
2023·RB44 · 5.9 PPG
Kyren Williams70%
2023·RB9 · 20.2 PPG
James Cook70%
2023·RB10 · 13.5 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Roschon Johnson is dynasty-irrelevant and trending toward the waiver wire: he played effectively zero offensive snaps in 2025 before a thumb injury sent him to IR, and the Bears enter 2026 with Swift and Monangai locking down the NFL's #3 rushing attack. Search confirms Johnson is RB3 at best and a labeled cut candidate entering the final year of his rookie deal, forced to battle Brittain Brown and UDFA Coleman Bennett just to make the roster on special-teams value. The only realistic upside catalyst is a Swift departure (FA after 2026) or an injury cascade, but even then Johnson would likely split work with a waiver pickup rather than inherit a feature role. His age (25) and lack of any established role leave no developmental runway. Recommendation: SELL for any non-zero return now, or simply drop in shallower/standard dynasty leagues — hold only as a free deep-bench Swift-contingency stash in 30+ roster formats. Timeframe: immediate.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart2

    Johnson is buried as RB3 behind Swift and Monangai with essentially no offensive role in 2025, recording just two carries for 17 yards across seven appearances before injury. Monangai has firmly established himself as the RB2 with 783 rushing yards and 5 TDs as a seventh-round rookie.

  • Injury Concerns

    Johnson missed significant time in 2025 due to multiple injuries including foot (Week 1), back (Weeks 8-9), and thumb (placed on IR in November), plus concussion history from 2024. This pattern of recurring health issues severely limits his availability and roster security.

  • Contract Expiration

    Johnson is in the final year of his rookie deal (2026) and has given the Bears no reason to re-sign him. Multiple reports suggest he may not even make the roster out of training camp given his special teams-only role and the emergence of Monangai.

  • Role Uncertainty

    After three years in Chicago across multiple coaching staffs, Johnson has never established himself on the field. He is widely viewed as fighting for a roster spot in 2026, not competing for a meaningful role, and is borderline cuttable even as a depth piece with a potential late-round draft pick addition looming at RB.

  • Usage & Volume

    Swift and Monangai led the NFL's #3 rushing attack in 2025 and own the entire backfield. Johnson logged effectively zero meaningful snaps (0% snap/carry/target share across his 2025 game logs) and has no path to standalone volume.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Goalline Upside

    If the Bears utilize Johnson more in the red zone or goal-line situations, he could generate TD upside that exceeds his baseline touch projections, similar to a backup RB role model like AJ Dillon.

  • Swift Departure

    Swift is entering the final year of his contract in 2026, and the Bears could save $7.4M by releasing him. If Chicago moves on from Swift, Johnson could compete for the RB2 role behind Monangai, though his health and performance make this unlikely.

  • Monangai Regression Opening

    If Monangai struggles or sustains injury in 2026, Johnson could reclaim a complementary role. However, given his age (25) and recent health issues, this is a low-probability scenario for dynasty relevance.

  • Injury Concerns

    If both Swift and Monangai suffer injuries, Johnson could briefly see elevated touches as the emergency option. However, his own injury history and lack of 2025 production make him an unreliable handcuff with minimal dynasty value.

  • Injury Contingency

    The only meaningful 2026 path to value requires both Swift and Monangai to miss significant time simultaneously — a low-probability scenario, but the sole realistic catalyst for Johnson getting starter-level touches in the near term.

  • Coaching Continuity

    New RB coach Eric Studesville (replacing Eric Bieniemy) brings fresh eyes to the position group. A coaching reset occasionally provides depth backs an opportunity to re-establish themselves, though there is currently no signal this benefits Johnson specifically.

Format Comparison

Roschon Johnson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest576—
PPR SF482-94