Risk Flags
6- QB Competition
With Daniel Jones still available as a free agent and the Colts' clear preference for veteran QB play (signing 44-year-old Philip Rivers mid-season), Leonard is unlikely to be the franchise starter heading into 2026.
- Depth Chart
Leonard is firmly entrenched as QB3 behind Daniel Jones (who the Colts plan to re-sign to a multi-year deal) and potentially Anthony Richardson. GM Chris Ballard stated Leonard is being evaluated as a potential QB2, not a starter.
- Franchise Commitment Jones
Multiple reports confirm the Colts plan to open multi-year contract talks with Daniel Jones, who posted elite efficiency numbers (68% completion, 8.1 YPA, 100.2 rating) before his Achilles injury. Jones expects to be ready by training camp 2026.
- Depth Chart Ceiling
Daniel Jones is locked in as the Colts' QB1 on a 2-year, $88M contract with $60M guaranteed. The franchise's financial commitment essentially forecloses Leonard's path to a long-term starting role barring a Jones bust-out or catastrophic injury, relegating him to emergency duty.
- Starter Access Risk
Leonard's only realistic near-term path to meaningful starts is a Jones Achilles setback delaying his 2026 return. If Jones is healthy for Week 1, Leonard likely replicates his 2025 role — logging minimal snaps and accumulating near-zero dynasty production all season.
- QB Dependency
Daniel Jones was re-signed and is the expected Week 1 starter (recovering from a torn Achilles but on track), leaving Leonard with no clear path to volume in 2026 absent injury. His season line (6.2 PPG, #50 QB) reflects a pure backup with one meaningful start (Week 18).