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QB #309
Riley Leonard headshot
Riley Leonard headshot

Riley Leonard

Tier 9

IND · QB · Age 23

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

716Declining

Riley Leonard is a cheap, trending-up developmental QB whose internal standing has quietly improved — the Colts re-signed Daniel Jones as the 2026 starter, but...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (13 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • QB Competition

    With Daniel Jones still available as a free agent and the Colts' clear preference for veteran QB play (signing 44-year-old Philip Rivers mid-season), Leonard is unlikely to be the franchise starter heading into 2026.

  • Depth Chart

    Leonard is firmly entrenched as QB3 behind Daniel Jones (who the Colts plan to re-sign to a multi-year deal) and potentially Anthony Richardson. GM Chris Ballard stated Leonard is being evaluated as a potential QB2, not a starter.

  • Franchise Commitment Jones

    Multiple reports confirm the Colts plan to open multi-year contract talks with Daniel Jones, who posted elite efficiency numbers (68% completion, 8.1 YPA, 100.2 rating) before his Achilles injury. Jones expects to be ready by training camp 2026.

  • Depth Chart Ceiling

    Daniel Jones is locked in as the Colts' QB1 on a 2-year, $88M contract with $60M guaranteed. The franchise's financial commitment essentially forecloses Leonard's path to a long-term starting role barring a Jones bust-out or catastrophic injury, relegating him to emergency duty.

  • Starter Access Risk

    Leonard's only realistic near-term path to meaningful starts is a Jones Achilles setback delaying his 2026 return. If Jones is healthy for Week 1, Leonard likely replicates his 2025 role — logging minimal snaps and accumulating near-zero dynasty production all season.

  • QB Dependency

    Daniel Jones was re-signed and is the expected Week 1 starter (recovering from a torn Achilles but on track), leaving Leonard with no clear path to volume in 2026 absent injury. His season line (6.2 PPG, #50 QB) reflects a pure backup with one meaningful start (Week 18).

Opportunity Flags

7
  • Youth Development Window

    At 23.4 years old, Leonard is entering his prime learning years with multiple seasons ahead to develop. Early struggles don't disqualify him from becoming a long-term QB1.

  • Starter Equity

    Jones tore his Achilles in December 2025 and while the Colts are optimistic about Week 1, Achilles recoveries carry real setback risk. Even 4-6 starts for Leonard in 2026 would meaningfully spike his dynasty value from basement tier and force genuine re-evaluation of his long-term role.

  • Backup Role Security

    Leonard holds the QB1 role on the depth chart entering 2026 with a clear development pathway. If Jones leaves in free agency, he becomes the automatic #2 behind whatever veteran the Colts add.

  • Depth Chart

    Richardson requested a trade in February (unrescinded), the Colts declined his fifth-year option, and a move could happen after August 1 — his exit would hand Leonard the clear QB2 job and the next-man-up role behind an injury-prone Jones.

  • Offensive Context

    Any Leonard starts come with an elite supporting cast: Jonathan Taylor (6184 value), Tyler Warren (5240), Alec Pierce (3591), and Michael Pittman (3547) are legitimate NFL weapons. This is a top-tier surrounding environment that could dramatically inflate his fantasy output if he earns snaps.

  • Depth Chart Clarity

    With the 5th-year option almost certainly declined and Richardson's trade request unresolved post-draft, Leonard is on the verge of becoming the clear QB2. GM Ballard said he is 'very encouraged by Riley' and coach Steichen is eager to give him OTA reps.

  • Youth Upside

    Young QB (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Scenarios (4)
  • Jones healthy, Leonard inactive QB2/QB3likely-5%

    Daniel Jones returns from Achilles and starts all season; Leonard wins or splits backup duty

  • Richardson traded, Leonard clear QB2possible+15%

    Colts move Richardson after August 1 for draft capital

  • Jones injury/struggles open extended Leonard runpossible+35%

    Jones re-injures Achilles or is benched; Leonard gets multi-game audition

  • Colts draft/sign a QB in 2027, Leonard buriedunlikely-30%

    Indy adds a premium QB next offseason, ending Leonard's succession path

Format Comparison

Riley Leonard — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest716—
PPR 1QB451-265