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Ricky Pearsall headshot

Ricky Pearsall

WR · #53

SF · WR · Age 26

◆FLEX

Ricky Pearsall's recent uptick in target share to 25% signals a growing role within the passing game, but his inconsistent production over the last four games suggests he remains a high-floor FLEX option.

Role & volume
Pearsall has seen a significant increase in target share to 25% in recent weeks, indicating an expanded role within the passing game.
Projected role
With Christian Kirk out for the season due to injury, Pearsall is expected to maintain his elevated volume and continue as a key receiver on the depth chart.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Pearsall's recent performance shows a high floor of 2.8 PPR points but with inconsistent ceiling potential, given his last four games' production ranging from 3.4 to 15.6 PPR points.
Intel may be outdated · updated 4 days ago
Current statusSF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Slight buy-low — we value him a bit above the marketSlight
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to regress
  • ▲Dynasty age curve
  • ▲Expected fantasy points
  • ▲Opportunity share
Our view vs Market↑ 17 pts above market
Our view
84
Market
67
TD regression riskLong career runway

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury History

    Pearsall underwent season-ending surgery in August 2026 to repair a PCL first sprained in Week 4 of 2025 that swelled again in 2026 training camp; surgical repair of an isolated PCL is rare enough in pro sports that data on a full return to prior form is limited.

  • Durability Pattern

    Beyond this knee injury, Pearsall's career already included a 2024 offseason gunshot wound and hamstring issues that, combined with the knee, held him to 10 games in 2025 — a recurring pattern of missed time across unrelated injury types.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Room Clearing Out

    San Francisco moved on from Brandon Aiyuk during the 2026 offseason, thinning the long-term target competition Pearsall would otherwise face once healthy.

  • Vertical Role Fit

    Before the injury, Pearsall's usage skewed downfield (13.8 aDOT, roughly 38% deep targets) in a Brock Purdy-led passing game, the kind of big-play role that can retain dynasty value even on modest target volume.

  • Incumbent Trust

    A 2024 first-round pick, Pearsall held a stable WR9-and-starting-trio depth chart spot entering 2026 before the injury, reflecting real coaching trust rather than a camp battle still to be won.

Format Comparison

Ricky Pearsall — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest2,068—
PPR SF1,709-359