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Rhamondre Stevenson headshot

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · #36

NE · RB · Age 28

Redraft rank
RB27
•RB27 · Flex play
Tier
T3
Overall
#102
ADP
RB30
Consensus
Some split

Rhamondre Stevenson's 27 fumbles since 2021 are a red flag, limiting his fantasy upside despite strong finish to the 2025 season.

Role & trajectory
Stevenson's carry share has trended up to 39% in recent games, but he faces significant competition from TreVeyon Henderson, who established himself as a long-term fixture with 911 rushing yards and nine touchdowns as a rookie.
Projected outlook
Stevenson's target share has dropped to 12%, reducing his PPR upside. Despite this, he remains the early-down/short-yardage hammer in a run-first system under Josh McDaniels and Mike Vrabel.
Risk & schedule
Stevenson's fumble history (17 since 2021) creates durability concerns, limiting his value. Additionally, the Patriots' investment in Henderson suggests Stevenson may lose volume as the rookie matures and takes over receiving responsibilities.
Value vs ADP+3 slots of value
Our rank
RB27
vs
Market ADP
RB30
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
RB30 ADP · +3 slots
Minor
+
Source agreement
±5 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
Neutral: Projection rank, Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 age-28 backs most similar to Rhamondre Stevenson's 2025 season, 2 finished RB1, 1 finished RB2, 1 finished RB3, 6 finished RB4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span RB4+ → RB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

19%62%
  • RB119%(2)
  • RB29%(1)
  • RB311%(1)
  • RB4+62%(6)
Next-season PPG range8.7 median
4.4p25–p75 6.3–14.618.1
10 most similar players
Kyle Juszczyk83%
2019·RB60 · 6.3 PPG
Jerick McKinnon76%
2021·RB59 · 8.7 PPG
David Johnson76%
2020·RB25 · 15.0 PPG
Giovani Bernard74%
2021·RB65 · 6.5 PPG
Ty Johnson71%
2025·RB47 · 5.9 PPG
Kenyan Drake68%
2022·RB46 · 8.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid carry shareAge 28 · veteran
Our view vs Market↑ 9 pts above market
Our view
65
Market
56

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Age Concerns2

    At 27.9 years old, Stevenson is entering the typical RB decline window where production and trade value drop sharply. Most dynasty leagues value RBs with 3-4 years of peak remaining, putting him near the end of that window.

  • Backfield Competition

    TreVeyon Henderson posted 911 rushing yards and nine touchdowns as a rookie, finishing as the Patriots' most productive RB in 2025 and establishing himself as a long-term fixture. Henderson's emergence directly threatens Stevenson's volume and dynasty relevance heading into 2026.

  • Depth Chart

    TreVeyon Henderson (dynasty value vs Stevenson's) clearly outperformed Stevenson in 2025 with 911 rushing yards and 9 TDs on 180 carries. Henderson is the confirmed RB1 entering 2026; Stevenson is the veteran committee back.

  • Depth Chart Ceiling

    TreVeyon Henderson (dynasty value vs Stevenson's) outproduced Stevenson in 2025 and is the clear future of the backfield. The coaching staff has framed this as a two-headed backfield, hard-capping Stevenson's upside.

  • Target Volume

    TreVeyon Henderson broke out in 2025 and carries more than double Stevenson's dynasty value; Stevenson is locked into an RB2 timeshare with his target share already eroding to 12% as he becomes the early-down/short-yardage complement.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Trade Value2

    Stevenson's 2025 stat line (PPR RB17, 12.8 PPG) and playoff narrative create perception inflation that likely overstates his dynasty outlook. Selling into that hype before 2026 preseason depth chart clarity destroys value is the optimal move.

  • Sell Window

    This is the optimal window to sell Stevenson before the age cliff accelerates further. A team needing RB depth for a contention window might still value him reasonably, making a trade-away strategically sound.

  • Scheme Fit

    Mike Vrabel's six Titans offenses were all run-heavy. Stevenson's pass protection prowess (Drake Maye called him one of the league's best blockers) and three-down versatility should keep him valuable in Vrabel's system through 2026.

  • Sell Window 2026

    The Patriots' Super Bowl appearance maximizes Stevenson's perceived value despite age concerns. Contending teams needing proven RB depth may offer reasonable assets before the inevitable age-related decline accelerates in 2026-2027.

  • Usage & Volume

    Carry share has trended UP to 39% in recent games, signaling the coaching staff still values Stevenson as the workhorse/short-yardage back. In a run-first system under Josh McDaniels, that role sustains fantasy relevance even without targets.

Format Comparison

Rhamondre Stevenson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,966—
PPR SF1,647-319