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Ray Davis headshot

Ray Davis

RB · #68

BUF · RB · Age 26

◆FLEX

Ray Davis's recent spike to a 64% snap share in Week 18 signals potential for increased usage, but his erratic volume over the last four games suggests inconsistency.

Role & volume
Over the past four games, Ray Davis has seen significant variance in his role and volume, with a high of 64% snap share in Week 18 compared to just 9% in Week 15.
Projected role
Despite recent upticks, Davis's projected role remains uncertain due to his inconsistent usage over the last four games, with an average carry share of only 4.7% across that span.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Davis offers a low floor and high ceiling based on recent performances, ranging from just 2.3 PPR points in Week 15 to 25.4 PPR points in Week 18.
Intel may be outdated · updated 7 days ago
Current statusBUF
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionStrong carry shareAge 26 · peak window
Our view vs Market↑ 20 pts above market
Our view
39
Market
19
Thin opportunity share

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Depth Chart

    James Cook is an entrenched every-down back coming off leading the NFL in rushing, and Ty Johnson, Ian Wheeler, and Frank Gore Jr. all compete for the remaining complementary touches, leaving little room for Davis to carve out standalone volume.

  • Target Competition

    Target share has sat in the low single digits with a WOPR of 0.04 and negative aDOT, indicating essentially no passing-down role, which caps his PPR ceiling even if his overall snap share rises.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Handcuff Value

    Davis holds a stable RB2 spot directly behind Cook, so a Cook absence would hand him lead-back touches immediately rather than triggering a committee battle.

  • Rookie Upside

    Snap share and target share both trended upward over his final four games of the 2025 season, including the playoff run, a modest sign the role could be expanding rather than shrinking.

  • Roster Security

    Davis earned First-Team All-Pro recognition as a kickoff returner in the 2025 playoffs, which reinforces his real-life roster spot even though it carries little direct dynasty scoring value.

Format Comparison

Ray Davis — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,055—
PPR SF883-172