Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Rashod Bateman headshot

Rashod Bateman

WR · #99

BAL · WR · Age 26

Redraft rank
WR78
•WR78 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#193
ADP
WR73
Consensus
Coin flip

Rashod Bateman's WR78 value reflects his uncertain role in a crowded Baltimore receiving corps, with rookies Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt pushing for snaps.

Role & trajectory
Bateman holds the first crack at WR2 behind Zay Flowers but faces stiff competition from rookie additions Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt, limiting his upside.
Projected outlook
Despite entering camp as the projected WR2, Bateman's efficiency metrics (48.7% catch rate, 12.0 aDOT) suggest he needs to improve significantly to maximize his volume in Lamar Jackson's offense.
Risk & schedule
The addition of rookie receivers and the uncertainty surrounding Bateman's contract status pose significant risks to his workload and value, making him a speculative flex option at best.
Value vs ADP-5 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR78
vs
Market ADP
WR73
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR78 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR73 ADP · -5 slots
Notable
−
Source agreement
±34 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-26 receivers most similar to Rashod Bateman's 2025 season, 6 finished WR4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

59%41%
  • WR4+59%(6)
  • Missed season41%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
59%hang on~8.8 PPG·41%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–8.911.0
10 most similar players
Laquon Treadwell98%
2022·Missed the season
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine95%
2024·WR56 · 10.4 PPG
Rashard Higgins95%
2022·Missed the season
Brandon Aiyuk93%
2025·Missed the season
Josh Reynolds91%
2022·WR70 · 8.7 PPG
James Washington89%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 26 · ascendingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 12 pts above market
Our view
38
Market
26
Long career runwayHigh draft pedigree

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (6 flags)

Risk Flags

4
  • Usage & Volume

    After a career year in 2024 (45-756-9), Bateman cratered to 19-224-2 in 2025 (PPR #103) with single-digit target shares (3-10%) across his final games. The volume simply isn't there to support startable dynasty value.

  • Target Competition

    Baltimore drafted Ja'Kobi Lane (R3) and Elijah Sarratt (R4) to push him, and the room already includes alpha Zay Flowers plus veteran DeAndre Hopkins. Bateman holds only the first crack at WR2 with little margin for another slow start.

  • Contract Situation

    Bateman is in the final year of his 3-year, $15M extension and is being floated as a trade candidate. His Baltimore future beyond 2026 is genuinely uncertain.

  • Scheme Fit

    New OC Declan Doyle (from Chicago) is installing a brand-new offense, and Bateman has missed offseason install reps due to personal matters — exactly when route trust and role clarity get built behind the incumbents.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    Despite the down year, Bateman enters camp as the projected WR2 ahead of the rookies and gets the first crack at the role in a Lamar Jackson-led offense that still funnels volume to its top perimeter targets.

  • Offensive Context

    A fresh OC and new scheme reset reset his usage profile; a contract-year motivation plus deep-threat fit could restore the TD efficiency that made his 2024 productive.

Format Comparison

Rashod Bateman — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,050—
PPR SF868-182