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Rashid Shaheed headshot

Rashid Shaheed

WR · #64

SEA · WR · Age 27

Redraft rank
WR58
•WR58 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#157
ADP
WR57
Consensus
Coin flip

Rashid Shaheed's single most decision-relevant fact is his 50% catch rate, which caps his reliability as a weekly starter despite an expanded role in Seattle.

Role & trajectory
Shaheed enters the season with a 6.9% target share and 13.2% air yards share, indicating he remains a situational vertical threat rather than a high-volume receiver.
Projected outlook
Seattle's WR room is crowded, with Jaxon Smith-Njigba leading the way and Cooper Kupp and Tory Horton also competing for targets. Shaheed's role is speculative at best, given his 50% catch rate and limited target volume.
Risk & schedule
The risk lies in Shaheed fighting for a small share of the remaining targets behind established receivers like Smith-Njigba and Kupp. His role is further complicated by Horton's ascent, which could limit his offensive opportunities.
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR58
vs
Market ADP
WR57
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR58 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
Source agreement
±10 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: ADP value, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-27 receivers most similar to Rashid Shaheed's 2025 season, 1 finished WR2, 5 finished WR4+, 4 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%40%
  • WR210%(1)
  • WR4+50%(5)
  • Missed season40%(4)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
60%hang on~6.1 PPG·40%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.410.8
10 most similar players
Marquise Goodwin95%
2019·WR125 · 4.8 PPG
Zay Jones88%
2022·WR19 · 12.9 PPG
John Ross86%
2022·Missed the season
DaeSean Hamilton85%
2021·Missed the season
Josh Reynolds84%
2022·WR70 · 8.7 PPG
Nelson Agholor84%
2022·WR96 · 5.4 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Solid usage productionSolid target shareAge 27 · peak windowTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 3 pts above market
Our view
55
Market
52
Low draft pedigreeTD regression risk

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Target Volume

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the entrenched alpha and Cooper Kupp holds a strong complementary role, with rising Tory Horton also competing — leaving Shaheed fighting for the remaining targets. He saw 5+ targets in only 1 of 12 Seattle games last season, and playoff target share sat at 9-14%.

  • Usage & Volume

    Despite the $51M deal, Shaheed remains a situational vertical/return specialist rather than a high-volume target earner; analysts openly question whether his offensive snaps (57%) translate to enough work, making him a boom/bust WR3/4 with a low floor.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Offensive Context

    Elite speed makes him the offense's premier vertical threat; target share is trending up (14%) and snaps are up (57%), and any consolidation of the WR room behind JSN gives him weekly spike-week upside.

  • Special Teams

    Two-time Pro Bowl kick returner with multiple return TDs (regular season + playoffs), adding a non-offensive floor in return-yardage scoring formats and roster-utility value.

  • Contract Situation

    Seattle re-signed Shaheed to a 3yr/$51M deal in March 2026, signaling organizational commitment and a likely expanded designed role entering his first full season in the offense alongside Sam Darnold.

Format Comparison

Rashid Shaheed — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,658—
PPR SF1,416-242