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Rasheen Ali headshot

Rasheen Ali

RB · #104

BAL · RB · Age 25

Redraft rank
RB85
◆RB85 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#392
ADP
RB62
Consensus
Coin flip

Rasheen Ali's 16% snap share in Week 18 signals he is fighting for relevance against rookie competition and lacks consistent weekly volume.

Role & trajectory
Ali enters the 2026 season as the Ravens' No. 3 RB, competing directly with fifth-round rookie Adam Randall for a limited role behind Derrick Henry and Justice Hill.
Projected outlook
With minimal offensive touches (7 rushing attempts) in 2025 and no clear path to increased volume, Ali's fantasy relevance remains low as he battles for the RB3 spot.
Risk & schedule
Ali faces significant competition from Adam Randall, who was drafted specifically to compete for his role, and must contend with a crowded RB room that limits his weekly consistency and upside.
Value vs ADP-23 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB85
vs
Market ADP
RB62
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
RB85 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
RB62 ADP · -23 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±73 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 backs most similar to Rasheen Ali, 3 finished RB1, 6 finished RB4+, 1 was off fantasy rosters.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Off rosters → RB1 — directional, not a forecast.

33%57%
  • RB133%(3)
  • RB4+57%(6)
  • Off rosters11%(1)
Year-two PPG range8.3 median
2.3p25–p75 5.3–15.718.8
10 most similar players
Chase Brown85%
2024·RB12 · 15.9 PPG
Kyren Williams79%
2023·RB9 · 20.2 PPG
Hassan Haskins72%
2023·Off fantasy rosters
Zamir White72%
2023·RB48 · 5.7 PPG
Khalil Herbert71%
2023·RB40 · 9.4 PPG
Tank Bigsby69%
2024·RB38 · 8.6 PPG

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionStrong carry shareAge 25 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↑ 7 pts above market
Our view
17
Market
10
Long career runwayThin opportunity shareProduction lagging value

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Depth Chart3

    Derrick Henry signed a 2-year, $30M extension through 2027 with $25M guaranteed, cementing his role as RB1. Ali remains firmly behind Henry and Keaton Mitchell on the depth chart with minimal offensive snaps.

  • Crowded Backfield Depth

    Ali sits 3rd on the depth chart behind Derrick Henry and Keaton Mitchell with Justice Hill on IR. Ali emerged as a solid RB3 in the 2025 season, but remains in a highly competitive touch-share situation with limited weekly consistency.

  • Usage & Volume

    Ali has just 26 offensive touches across two NFL seasons and finished at 16% snap share in Week 18 on a declining trend. At 1.6 PPG on the season with a PPR rank of #83, he has not converted opportunities into production or expanded his role.

  • Depth Chart Clarity

    Ali is the No. 3 RB but in a direct training-camp battle with 2026 fifth-round rookie Adam Randall (6'3", 231, 4.5 speed, pass-catching profile) for that spot. With Henry and Justice Hill locked atop the depth chart, the loser of the Ali/Randall battle risks the practice squad or a roster cut.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Pass Catching Upside

    Ali finished second on the team in both catches and receiving yards, turning a short reception into a 30-yard TD in recent weeks, reeling in 4 of 5 targets for 43 yards and a score over his last two contests. This pass-game versatility offers dynasty appeal if volume increases.

  • Depth Chart

    Keaton Mitchell signed with the Los Angeles Chargers on a 2-year, $9.25M deal in free agency, removing the primary competition for Baltimore's RB2 role. Ali enters 2026 as the de facto backup with the clearest path to handcuff touches of his career.

  • Age Concerns2

    Henry might be in for a massive dip in production in 2026; while still far better than peers, some stats suggest he's slowing down a bit. Henry will be 33 years old by 2027 contract expiration, creating a pathway for Ali to increase touches if decline accelerates.

  • Justice Hill Roster Uncertainty

    Ali emerged as a solid RB3 while Keaton Mitchell provided backup depth; Hill may not have a spot and could save the Ravens $3.1 million if cut. Roster decisions on Hill could improve Ali's depth chart standing heading into 2026.

  • Henry Decline

    Henry turns 32 during the 2026 season and is locked in through age 33 — a window where even elite running backs historically show meaningful erosion. Ali's dynasty upside window opens naturally as Henry ages into his extension years.

Format Comparison

Rasheen Ali — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest732—
PPR SF620-112