Opportunity Flags
1- Youth Upside
Young RB (22) — peak value years ahead
Quinshon Judkins
RB · #11CLE · RB · Age 22
Redraft rank
RB22
RB22 · Flex play
Tier
T2
Overall
#80
ADP
RB19
Consensus
Coin flip
Quinshon Judkins, who took 56% of carries as a rookie despite ending his season on IR, heads into the 2026 campaign with an early-down and goal-line monopoly intact after Jerome Ford's departure.
Role & trajectory
Judkins secured a clear lead back role in Cleveland, having taken 55.5% of carries as a rookie despite missing the final two games due to injury.
Projected outlook
With Jerome Ford's departure and no running backs drafted in the 2026 draft, Judkins is set for healthy workhorse usage in Week 1 with an upgraded offensive line supporting his rushing volume.
Risk & schedule
A surgically repaired ankle for a power runner like Judkins is not fully derisked until he shows Week 1 burst, and the quarterback room's unsettled state caps the scoring environment with stacked boxes.
Value vs ADP-3 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB22
Market ADP
RB19
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankMinorMinorNotable
Case for
Age / role
age 22 RB
Case against
ADP value
RB19 ADP · -3 slots
Source agreement
±18 rank σ · 2 sources
Neutral: Projection rank
What similar players becameMedium confidence
Of the 10 age-22 backs most similar to Quinshon Judkins's 2025 season, 3 finished RB1, 4 finished RB2, 3 finished RB4+.
Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
32%38%31%
- RB132%(3)
- RB238%(4)
- RB4+31%(3)
Next-season PPG range13.7 median
6.8p25–p75 10.7–15.619.8
10 most similar players
Kerryon Johnson95%
2019RB50 · 10.6 PPG
Josh Jacobs91%
2020RB10 · 15.4 PPG
Jonathan Taylor85%
2021RB1 · 21.9 PPG
Kenneth Walker III84%
2023RB22 · 13.3 PPG
Nick Chubb79%
2020RB9 · 17.2 PPG
Javonte Williams78%
2022RB83 · 10.5 PPG
+4 more analogs
Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.
Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)
Format Comparison
Quinshon Judkins — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 4,567 | — |
| PPR SF | 3,955 | -612 |