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Quinn Ewers headshot

Quinn Ewers

QB · #45

MIA · QB · Age 23

Redraft rank
QB63
◆QB63 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#483
ADP
QB34
Consensus
Coin flip

Quinn Ewers's start-value ceiling is capped at QB2 due to Miami's commitment to Malik Willis as the starter, making him a speculative hold for long-term upside rather than redraft relevance.

Role & trajectory
Ewers finished 2025 as MIA's starting quarterback but enters 2026 buried behind Malik Willis, who signed a significant contract to be the team's starter.
Projected outlook
At 23 years old, Ewers showed competence in his rookie season with a completion rate of 66% and three starts, but his near-term value is speculative due to Miami's depth chart and future draft plans.
Risk & schedule
Ewers faces significant risk from Willis holding the starting job, as well as potential competition from a developmental quarterback drafted in 2027, which could push him further down the depth chart.
Value vs ADP-29 slots (reach)
Our rank
QB63
vs
Market ADP
QB34
Drafted earlier than the projection supports.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 23 QB
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
QB63 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
QB34 ADP · -29 slots
Major
−
Source agreement
±42 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
What similar players becameSpeculative

Comp set for Quinn Ewers is too thin or too uncertain to publish a finish-tier probability — the analogs below are shown for context only.

Small cohort (~4 effective analogs) — shown for context, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

4 most similar players
Gardner Minshew65%
2021·Missed the season
Anthony Richardson59%
2025·Missed the season
Jalen Hurts56%
2021·QB9 · 20.5 PPG
C.J. Stroud51%
2024·QB17 · 13.3 PPG
Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Depth Chart

    Ewers opens 2026 as the clear QB2 after Miami signed Malik Willis (3yr/$67.5M, ~$45M guaranteed) to be the hand-picked starter of GM Jon-Eric Sullivan and HC Jeff Hafley. Absent a Willis injury or collapse, Ewers has no path to meaningful snaps.

  • Draft Capital

    Miami did not draft a QB in 2026 and has signaled it wants to add one annually, making a 2027 developmental/franchise QB pick highly likely — a fresh threat that could push Ewers to QB3 before he ever gets a second look.

  • Injury Concerns

    Ewers exited the Week 18 finale with a knee injury, but the initial evaluation showed a 'stable knee' and avoided the worst-case scenario; expected to be fully available for the offseason program with no lingering timeline risk reported.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Role Opportunity

    Ewers ended 2025 as the starter and is the in-house next-man-up; if the unproven Willis falters or gets hurt, Ewers is positioned to reclaim QB1 reps, the entire basis of his speculative dynasty value.

  • Age Trajectory

    At 23, Ewers sits in the value-appreciation window for QBs and showed competence as a rookie (66% completions, 3 TD across 3 starts), leaving long-runway upside if a starting path ever opens.

Format Comparison

Quinn Ewers — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest710—
PPR 1QB586-124