Quinn Ewers

Comp set for Quinn Ewers is too thin or too uncertain to publish a finish-tier probability — the analogs below are shown for context only.

Small cohort (~4 effective analogs) — shown for context, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

Ewers begins 2026 buried as Miami's QB2 after the new Hafley/Sullivan regime committed to Malik Willis (3yr/$67.5M) as the face of its rebuild, despite Ewers finishing 2025 as the team's starter. He flashed competence as a Day 3 rookie (66% completions, 3 TD/3 INT in three starts) and, at 23, retains long-term developmental appeal, but his near-term value rests almost entirely on a Willis collapse or injury rather than any guaranteed volume. The key concerns are the entrenched starter ahead of him and Miami's stated intent to draft a quarterback in 2027, which could push him further down the depth chart. The knee injury from the Week 18 finale appears minor and not a value factor. This is a hold-to-speculative-buy at a depressed price (Tier 6, ~1,794) for contenders who can stash a cheap QB lottery ticket; redraft and win-now managers should pass.