Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Pat Bryant headshot

Pat Bryant

WR · #82

DEN · WR · Age 23

Redraft rank
WR92
▲WR92 · Depth+86 slots of value vs ADP
Tier
T3
Overall
#209
ADP
WR178
Consensus
Some split

Pat Bryant's WR87 ranking reflects his limited role behind established receivers in Denver, with no clear path to consistent volume without significant injury luck.

Role & trajectory
Bryant faces stiff competition for targets from Courtland Sutton (WR1), Jaylen Waddle (WR2), Troy Franklin (WR3), and Marvin Mims, with his snap share falling to just 4% in the final weeks of last season.
Projected outlook
Bryant's role is constrained by Denver's WR depth, with a base case scenario projecting him for fewer than 40 targets and minimal fantasy relevance unless injuries open up opportunities ahead of him.
Risk & schedule
Multiple concussions in the previous season raise long-term durability concerns, while the addition of Jaylen Waddle further limits Bryant's chances to earn a consistent role or volume in 2026.
Value vs ADP+86 slots of value
Our rank
WR92
vs
Market ADP
WR178
Projects better than the draft room is paying.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
ADP value
WR178 ADP · +86 slots
Major
+
Source agreement
±8 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
+
Age / role
age 23 WR
Minor
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR92 · proj. consensus
Notable
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 receivers most similar to Pat Bryant's 2025 season, 2 finished WR2, 7 finished WR4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

20%70%
  • WR220%(2)
  • WR4+70%(7)
  • Missed season10%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range7.9 median
2.6p25–p75 5.5–10.315.4
10 most similar players
Marquez Callaway93%
2021·WR49 · 8.9 PPG
Tyler Boyd92%
2018·WR18 · 15.8 PPG
Luke McCaffrey91%
2025·WR109 · 5.7 PPG
Josh Reynolds91%
2018·WR63 · 8.8 PPG
John Metchie90%
2024·WR102 · 5.5 PPG
Parris Campbell89%
2020·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns2

    Bryant suffered two significant concussions in the 2025 season (Week 16 vs Jacksonville and AFC Divisional vs Buffalo), with one resulting in hospitalization. Recurring concussions raise long-term durability concerns and may limit opportunity windows.

  • Target Competition2

    Denver traded for Jaylen Waddle this offseason, inserting a proven WR2 above Bryant on the depth chart. Bryant now sits WR4/5 behind Sutton, Waddle, Franklin, and Mims — requiring multiple injuries ahead of him for consistent fantasy relevance in 2026.

  • Usage & Volume2

    Bryant's snap share cratered from 66% in Week 18 to just 4% in Week 21, with target share collapsing from 22% to 4% over the same window. This isn't noise — it reflects a hardening depth chart pecking order that the Waddle trade now permanently cements.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Scheme Fit2

    Sean Payton has invested heavily in Bryant (3rd-round pick, promotional tweets). Payton fired offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi and elevated Davis Webb, signaling a potential schematic reset that could benefit young receivers breaking through like Bryant.

  • Elite Production

    Bryant showed dramatic progression late in 2025, averaging 40+ yards per game over the final six contests and recording 364 receiving yards since Week 8 with a 73.0 PFF grade. He appeared to be carving out a WR2 role before the concussion, demonstrating high coaching staff trust.

  • Injury Concerns

    If Bryant returns healthy, the Broncos may face WR free agency/trade upgrades given mid-field struggles. However, his demonstrated game-speed effectiveness and Nix chemistry position him well for target share growth in 2026 if durability holds.

  • Late Season Momentum

    Bryant showed dramatic progression late in 2025, posting a 73.0 PFF grade since Week 8 with 364 receiving yards over the final six games. He was emerging as the clear WR2 before his concussion, demonstrating coaching staff trust and chemistry with Nix.

  • Roster Turnover

    Courtland Sutton turns 30 in 2026 and his contract situation makes him a realistic cut or trade candidate heading into 2027. His departure would immediately elevate Bryant into a genuine WR2/3 role with meaningful target volume alongside Waddle and Franklin.

Format Comparison

Pat Bryant — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,396—
PPR SF1,197-199