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Omarion Hampton headshot

Omarion Hampton

RB · #5

LAC · RB · Age 23

Redraft rank
RB10
•RB10 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#34
ADP
RB9
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB10
vs
Market ADP
RB9
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
RB10 · proj. consensus
Notable
+
Source agreement
±6 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
+
Age / role
age 23 RB
Minor
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-22 backs most similar to Omarion Hampton's 2025 season, 3 finished RB1, 1 finished RB2, 4 finished RB3, 1 finished RB4+, 1 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

30%40%
  • RB130%(3)
  • RB29%(1)
  • RB340%(4)
  • RB4+12%(1)
  • Missed season9%(1)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range12.4 median
5.0p25–p75 10.7–16.217.3
10 most similar players
Clyde Edwards-Helaire95%
2022·RB48 · 9.8 PPG
Javonte Williams92%
2023·RB31 · 11.2 PPG
Zach Charbonnet91%
2024·RB26 · 10.8 PPG
Leonard Fournette86%
2019·RB8 · 17.3 PPG
Miles Sanders82%
2022·RB12 · 12.2 PPG
Zonovan Knight78%
2023·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Hampton enters 2026 as the Chargers' unchallenged lead back at age 23, and the offseason broke almost entirely his way: Los Angeles hired Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator, drafted zero running backs, and returns Justin Herbert with an improved offensive line. The down usage trend in the structured data is an injury artifact, not a role loss — his 3% playoff snap share came from being pulled after two snaps on a bad right ankle, while his final healthy start (Week 17-adjacent, 81% snaps, 26% target share, 20.0 points) shows the true role. The real concern is durability: a fractured left ankle cost him half his rookie year and a separate right ankle injury ended his playoffs, and Keaton Mitchell's guaranteed money gives the team a credible insurance piece who could siphon passing downs. McDaniel's track record of feeding one back heavy snap shares and manufacturing receiving volume makes Hampton one of the cleanest year-2 breakout bets at the position. Verdict: buy now, before a healthy September makes the window close — his price still reflects the injury-marred rookie line rather than the locked-in volume, elite offensive context, and scheme upgrade. Hold through at least 2027 if already rostered; this is a foundational dynasty RB profile.

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury Concerns

    Hampton dealt with two separate ankle injuries as a rookie — a fracture that sent him to IR and a second ankle issue that limited him to two snaps in the Wild Card loss — and durability is the swing factor on his workload projection for 2026.

  • Target Volume

    Season-long target share sits at just 6% (WOPR 0.09) despite a 26% spike in his lone full-workload game (W17), so the pass-catching upside the McDaniel scheme fit implies is still unproven over a full sample.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Usage & Volume

    Hampton is the stable RB1 with zero same-position draft capital added and a backup group (Vidal, Haskins, Patterson, Harris) that offers no real threat to his touches, clearing the path to a true bell-cow role in 2026.

  • Offensive Context

    New OC Mike McDaniel takes over an offense built around Justin Herbert and an improved receiving corps (McConkey, Njoku, Gadsden, Johnston), and Hampton himself has spoken publicly about the offense being able to do "big things" in 2026.

  • Elite Production

    Both Hampton and the offensive line are expected back at full health after an injury-marred rookie year, and his per-game trajectory before the playoff setback (81% snaps, 26% target share in W17) shows what a healthy workhorse rep share looks like.

Format Comparison

Omarion Hampton — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest7,053—
PPR SF6,128-925